Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +33.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +29 (78-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wilson | 33 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -25.1 |
| S. Lewis | 29 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | -25.2 |
| J. Simmons | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -28.9 |
| I. Adams | 24 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | -14.2 |
| S. Hubbard | 23 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -31.5 |
| A. Lorentsson | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -7.8 |
| J. Ouwinga | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.7 |
| B. Ford | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| G. Brcic | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +8.5 |
| T. Ode | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Uzan | 35 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +19.4 |
| M. Wilson | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | +14.9 |
| L.J. Cryer | 27 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +27.6 |
| T. Arceneaux | 27 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | +17.5 |
| E. Sharp | 20 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +10.4 |
| J. Tugler | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | +22.0 |
| J. Francis | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1.4 |
| M. Miller | 12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +5.0 |
| J. Roberts | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +11.6 |
| C. Lath | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +9.7 |
| K. Jefferson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 |
* = starter