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Toledo Rockets 82
@
Jacksonville State Gamecocks 80
2024-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Toledo Rockets Jacksonville State Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 27.8% 72.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 23.0% 77.0% - ✗
Margin 14.3% 85.7% +9.8 ✗ (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% - ✗
Efficiency 37.4% 62.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 13.8% 86.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 13.5% 86.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 28.5% 71.5% - ✗

Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks -2 (80-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Wilson * 35 5-14 1-2 1-2 5 3 3 0 1 12 8 +3.3
I. Adams * 32 4-13 2-4 4-4 3 6 1 1 1 14 11 +8.6
J. Simmons * 32 4-7 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 2 2 8 6 +6.1
S. Lewis * 30 6-10 4-5 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 16 13 -5.9
J. Ouwinga * 21 4-6 1-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 9 7 -1.9
S. Hubbard 24 3-9 3-8 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 11 8 +3.2
A. Lorentsson 21 4-5 3-4 1-2 3 2 0 0 0 12 12 +6.5
B. Ford 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.8

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pierre Jr. * 36 7-17 3-9 3-3 9 2 0 0 5 20 9 -3.3
M. Brigham Jr. * 33 5-9 1-2 1-2 6 0 1 0 2 12 8 -1.5
K. Cotton * 26 5-8 1-3 2-2 4 3 0 1 0 13 13 -9.9
M. Nicholson * 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 4 7 -3.4
J. Franklin * 21 3-7 3-7 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 9 0 -10.4
M. Houge 29 5-8 0-0 1-2 7 1 1 0 2 11 10 +1.8
I. Niagu 21 2-2 0-0 4-4 2 1 0 3 1 8 11 +6.5
J. Ituka 12 1-3 1-3 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 +5.4

* = starter