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TCU

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs, TCU
Program History

2021 Team Stats (9 games)

57.2
PPG
72.8
Opp
-15.6
Margin
39.9%
FG%
32.4%
3P%
64.4%
FT%
31.6
RPG
11.4
APG
16.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.9
Adj PPG
68.0
Adj Opp PPG
#151
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1069 (#126) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1038 (#146) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +66 elo More โ†’ 913 (#290) HCA +66 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.9 More โ†’ +2.2 (#137) HCA +1.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More โ†’ +0.1 (#163) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.325 (#253) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.3 More โ†’ 0.594 (#129) AdjNet +3.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.4 More โ†’ 0.596 (#129) AdjNet +3.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 68.0 More โ†’ 0.519 (#151) AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 68.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 70.1 More โ†’ 0.401 (#272) AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 70.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.488 (#173) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.464 (#187) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 141 | GP 26 More โ†’ 991 (#168) RD 141 | GP 26

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-11-25 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 69 - 45
2020-11-28 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 70 - 65
2020-11-29 vs Liberty Flames W 56 - 52
2020-12-03 vs Northwestern State Demons W 74 - 68
2020-12-06 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 78 - 82
2020-12-09 vs Providence Friars L 70 - 79
2020-12-12 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 73 - 55
2020-12-16 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys W 77 - 76
2020-12-22 vs North Dakota State Bison W 89 - 82
2020-12-30 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 66 - 61
2021-01-02 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 67 - 60
2021-01-05 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 64 - 93
2021-01-09 vs Baylor Bears L 49 - 67
2021-01-12 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 46 - 82
2021-01-16 @ West Virginia Mountaineers - Postponed
2021-01-20 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders - Preview
2021-01-23 vs Texas Longhorns - Postponed
2021-01-28 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 51 - 59
2021-01-30 @ Missouri Tigers L 98 - 102
2021-02-03 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 81 - 78
2021-02-06 @ Baylor Bears - Preview
2021-02-09 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 79 - 76
2021-02-13 @ Texas Longhorns L 55 - 70
2021-02-16 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders - Postponed
2021-02-18 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders - Preview
2021-02-20 vs Kansas State Wildcats L 54 - 62
2021-02-23 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 66 - 74
2021-02-27 @ Iowa State Cyclones W 76 - 72
2021-03-02 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 49 - 69
2021-03-04 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 67 - 76
2021-03-07 vs Texas Longhorns L 64 - 76
2021-03-10 vs Kansas State Wildcats L 50 - 71

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Duke Jr. D. Duke Jr. - 1 39.0 28.0 1.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 35.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
N. Watson N. Watson C 1 29.0 18.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 25.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Walker R. Walker - 2 26.5 14.0 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 17.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
RJ Nembhard RJ Nembhard - 11 34.9 13.6 4.7 4.0 0.8 0.2 4.0 9.8 9.5 -106 22 -4.8 -5.8 36.1 37.5 66.7 0.02 62.6 43.1
Mike Miles Mike Miles - 24 32.8 13.5 3.5 3.0 1.0 0.2 2.5 3.9 14.9 -91 23 -4.0 -4.9 30.1 30.0 82.6 0.88 157.1 38.2
C. Parker C. Parker G 1 34.0 13.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 16.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jimmy Nichols Jimmy Nichols - 1 15.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 13.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kevin Samuel Kevin Samuel - 11 23.3 7.2 5.7 0.5 1.1 1.1 1.8 3.9 9.9 -30 24 -1.2 -2.1 60.5 0 33.3 1.04 72.0 60.5
A.J. Reeves A.J. Reeves G 1 25.0 7.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 15.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Greg Gantt Jr. Greg Gantt Jr. F 1 30.0 7.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 14.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Chuck O'Bannon Chuck O'Bannon - 24 18.0 6.7 3.8 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.9 2.2 9.3 -9 23 -0.4 -0.9 42.3 40.6 66.7 1.51 143.9 54.8
E. Cuffee E. Cuffee G 1 36.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 9.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Abii M. Abii F 1 17.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jaedon Ledee Jaedon Ledee - 10 16.1 5.5 3.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.8 3.7 5.5 -71 22 -3.2 -8.9 54.1 0.0 81.2 -1.57 62.4 54.1
K. McDowell K. McDowell G 1 27.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Francisco Farabello Francisco Farabello - 3 21.7 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 1.3 1.3 5.7 3 7 0.4 0.8 75.0 50.0 0 -0.61 187.5 87.5
Pj Fuller Ii Pj Fuller Ii - 10 24.7 4.9 1.8 1.5 0.8 0.1 1.9 4.7 2.5 -103 22 -4.7 -7.6 31.9 24.0 73.3 -1.29 45.7 38.3
Taryn Todd Taryn Todd G 9 16.6 3.4 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 1.3 3.3 1.7 22 24 0.9 2.1 40.0 30.0 50.0 3.06 46.2 45.0
Kevin Easley Kevin Easley - 9 17.0 3.1 3.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 1.0 3.2 3.2 -46 24 -1.9 -4.2 37.9 20.0 80.0 -0.83 44.9 41.4
Avery Anderson Iii Avery Anderson Iii - 2 26.0 3.0 1.5 2.5 2.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 8.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Terren Frank Terren Frank F 8 9.2 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.1 1.1 -2 11 -0.2 -0.7 41.2 33.3 0 0.3 50.0 50.0
Mickey Pearson Jr. Mickey Pearson Jr. F 6 7.8 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.3 -52 17 -3.1 -18.4 100.0 0 0 -4.8 350.0 100.0
N. Horchler N. Horchler F 1 14.0 1.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Eddie Lampkin Eddie Lampkin C 10 3.4 0.6 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.6 -5 8 -0.6 -7.2 33.3 0 50.0 -1.18 77.3 33.3
Dylan Arnette Dylan Arnette - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.36 0 0
Owen Aschieris Owen Aschieris G 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.59 0 0
Harrison Young Harrison Young G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.37 0 0
D. Dobbs D. Dobbs - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG