Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.7% | 45.3% | -2.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.7% | 29.3% | -4.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -9 (70-79). Ratings: 2020-21 season-end ratings.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Duke * | 39 | 11-19 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 16 | - |
| Nate Watson * | 29 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| A.J. Reeves * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jared Bynum * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Noah Horchler * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Greg Gantt Jr. | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jimmy Nichols | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Alyn Breed | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ed Croswell | 11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Nembhard * | 38 | 11-17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Mike Miles * | 36 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Samuel * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jaedon Ledee * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mickey Pearson Jr. * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Easley Jr. | 27 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Chuck O'Bannon Jr. | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Taryn Todd | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Owen Aschieris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter