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TCU

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs, TCU
Program History

2013 Team Stats (6 games)

57.7
PPG
62.6
Opp
-7.6
Margin
39.7%
FG%
32.4%
3P%
62.4%
FT%
31.3
RPG
10.2
APG
12.3
TO
71.8
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1393 (#114) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1476 (#60) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 906 (#548) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +31.0 (#79) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +3.7 (#246) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.142 (#109) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -14.8 More → 0.148 (#194) NetEff -14.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.5 More → 0.117 (#104) AdjNet -17.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.5 More → 0.116 (#104) AdjNet -17.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.8 | AdjD 62.6 More → 0.372 (#544) AdjO 56.8 | AdjD 62.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.499 (#278) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.464 (#298) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 138 | GP 32 More → 967 (#240) RD 138 | GP 32

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 53 - 46
2012-11-12 vs Centenary Louisiana Gentlemen W 75 - 47
2012-11-15 vs SMU Mustangs L 61 - 64
2012-11-18 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 44 - 39
2012-11-20 vs Navy Midshipmen W 47 - 45
2012-11-23 vs Northwestern Wildcats L 31 - 55
2012-11-24 @ UAB Blazers W 76 - 73
2012-11-29 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 61 - 52
2012-12-04 vs Houston Cougars L 48 - 54
2012-12-08 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 49 - 50
2012-12-18 vs Southern Jaguars W 68 - 57
2012-12-22 @ Rice Owls W 65 - 63
2012-12-30 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 67 - 64
2013-01-05 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders L 53 - 62
2013-01-09 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 45 - 63
2013-01-12 @ Baylor Bears L 40 - 51
2013-01-16 vs Kansas State Wildcats L 54 - 67
2013-01-19 vs Iowa State Cyclones L 50 - 63
2013-01-23 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 50 - 71
2013-01-26 vs Baylor Bears L 56 - 82
2013-02-02 @ Texas Longhorns L 43 - 60
2013-02-06 vs Kansas Jayhawks W 62 - 55
2013-02-09 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 50 - 63
2013-02-11 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 48 - 75
2013-02-16 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 53 - 87
2013-02-19 vs Texas Longhorns L 59 - 68
2013-02-23 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 48 - 74
2013-02-27 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys L 47 - 64
2013-03-02 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 63 - 72
2013-03-05 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 68 - 79
2013-03-09 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 70 - 67
2013-03-13 @ Texas Longhorns L 57 - 70

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Anderson K. Anderson G 32 33.9 12.0 1.8 3.4 1.4 0.0 2.7 5.1 10.8 134 4.1 6.7 37.2 35.0 66.7 1.62 108.9 45.7
A. Fields A. Fields F 2 25.5 11.0 4.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 2.0 0.0 15.5 -24 -0.8 -1.5 0 0 0 0.26 0 0
G. Green G. Green G 32 30.2 9.7 3.5 1.1 0.5 0.3 2.1 4.6 8.4 -177 -5.7 -8.5 27.9 18.2 83.3 -0.59 96.4 30.6
A. McKinney A. McKinney F 32 23.9 7.5 6.4 0.8 0.6 0.4 1.6 2.7 11.4 -225 -7.0 -12.0 35.6 0 47.9 -1.23 101.5 35.6
D. Abron D. Abron F 32 21.3 7.4 5.9 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.3 2.6 11.2 -109 -3.4 -6.3 58.5 0 63.2 0.06 102.7 58.5
C. Crossland C. Crossland F 32 23.2 6.3 5.4 0.6 0.5 0.4 1.3 2.3 9.5 -144 -4.5 -7.6 41.3 0.0 60.8 0.07 103.1 41.3
J. Ray J. Ray G 10 25.7 6.2 1.9 1.1 0.9 0.3 1.7 1.7 7.0 5 0.5 0.8 17.6 40.0 83.3 0.52 157.8 23.5
N. Butler Lind N. Butler Lind G 31 27.1 4.9 2.6 1.6 1.0 0.6 1.5 2.2 7.1 -103 -3.3 -5.3 41.2 41.2 65.5 0.31 94.7 46.3
C. Hill Jr. C. Hill Jr. G 24 20.4 4.6 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.2 1.1 2.4 4.4 -168 -7.0 -13.3 31.0 30.8 63.6 -0.46 87.5 37.9
C. Smith III C. Smith III G 23 10.3 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.8 0.8 1.4 -50 -2.2 -6.4 11.1 0.0 50.0 0.18 58.2 11.1
C. Zurcher C. Zurcher G 27 6.4 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.8 -74 -2.6 -9.7 25.0 16.7 100.0 -0.59 78.8 31.2
T. Montigel T. Montigel G 17 5.8 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 4 0.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.43 83.3 0.0
K. Dincer K. Dincer G 7 2.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.3 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG