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2012-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Navy Midshipmen TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 14.0% 86.0% -
Bradley-Terry 12.1% 87.9% -
Margin 5.2% 94.8% +15.9 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 74.9% 25.1% -
Efficiency 59.1% 40.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% -
Log Adjusted 40.4% 59.6% -

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +2 (47-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Navy Midshipmen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Dunbar * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 0 0 3 10 15 -
W. Smith * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 2 1 1 14 25 -
B. Venturini * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 12 16 -
J. Loupos * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 1 6 -
T. Wynn * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 2 8 -
K. Knorr 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
W. Kelly 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
P. Guglielmo 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
J. Alexander 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
I. Roberts 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
B. Wyatt 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Butler Lind * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 1 1 4 10 -
K. Anderson * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 9 14 -
J. Ray * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 6 11 -
D. Abron * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 0 1 13 26 -
G. Green * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 4 4 5 -
C. Crossland 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 6 9 -
C. Smith III 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 5 8 -
A. McKinney 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Montigel 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Zurcher 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter