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2012-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Navy Midshipmen TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 12.3% 87.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“
Margin 20.2% 79.8% +7.6 โœ“ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 16.5% 83.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 16.3% 83.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.4% 64.6% - โœ“

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +2 (47-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Navy Midshipmen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Dunbar * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 0 0 3 10 15 -
W. Smith * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 2 1 1 14 25 -
B. Venturini * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 12 16 -
J. Loupos * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 1 6 -
T. Wynn * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 2 8 -
K. Knorr 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
W. Kelly 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
P. Guglielmo 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
J. Alexander 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
I. Roberts 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
B. Wyatt 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Butler Lind * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 1 1 4 10 -
Kyan Anderson * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 9 14 -
Jarvis Ray * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 6 11 -
Devonta Abron * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 0 1 13 26 -
Garlon Green * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 4 4 5 -
Connell Crossland 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 6 9 -
Clyde Smith 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 5 8 -
Adrick McKinney 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Thomas Montigel 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Chris Zurcher 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter