Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.5% | 95.5% | +16.8 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +7 (53-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. O'Brien * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B. Bennett * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| C. Eversley * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Royer * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. U'u | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| K. Odister | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| R. Morgan | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Z. Gordon | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| J. Awich | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Anderson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| G. Green * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| A. Fields * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| A. McKinney * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| J. Ray * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| N. Butler Lind | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| C. Crossland | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Abron | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Smith III | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Montigel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter