TCU

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs, TCU

Program History

Coach: Jamie Dixon

2025 Team Stats (32 games)

64.3

PPG

Opp

Margin

41.1%

FG%

29.2%

3P%

64.9%

FT%

33.3

RPG

11.3

APG

11.5

Est. poss./game

70.5

Adj PPG

62.8

Adj Opp PPG

#73

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1084 (#102)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1087 (#104)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +87 elo More →	963 (#235)	HCA +87 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More →	+9.1 (#69)	HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More →	+6.1 (#86)	HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.451 (#209)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.3 More →	0.822 (#71)	AdjNet +13.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.6 More →	0.828 (#70)	AdjNet +13.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.5 \| AdjD 62.8 More →	0.670 (#73)	AdjO 70.5 \| AdjD 62.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.6 \| AdjD 66.9 More →	0.493 (#181)	AdjO 66.6 \| AdjD 66.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.652 (#90)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.618 (#97)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 \| GP 32 More →	1088 (#103)	RD 135 \| GP 32

2025 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2024-11-04	vs	Florida A&M Rattlers	W	105 - 59
2024-11-08	vs	Florida Gulf Coast Eagles	W	67 - 51
2024-11-12	vs	Texas State Bobcats	W	76 - 71
2024-11-15	@	Michigan Wolverines	L	64 - 76
2024-11-19	vs	Alcorn State Braves	W	71 - 48
2024-11-28	vs	Santa Clara Broncos	L	52 - 69
2024-11-29	@	Colorado State Rams	L	72 - 76
2024-12-05	vs	Xavier Musketeers	W	76 - 72
2024-12-08	vs	Vanderbilt Commodores	L	74 - 83
2024-12-16	vs	South Alabama Jaguars	W	58 - 49
2024-12-22	vs	Montana State Bobcats	W	82 - 48
2024-12-30	@	Arizona Wildcats	L	81 - 90
2025-01-04	vs	Kansas State Wildcats	W	63 - 62
2025-01-06	@	Houston Cougars	L	46 - 65
2025-01-11	vs	BYU Cougars	W	71 - 67
2025-01-15	vs	Utah Utes	L	65 - 73
2025-01-19	@	Baylor Bears	W	74 - 71
2025-01-22	vs	Kansas Jayhawks	L	61 - 74
2025-01-25	@	UCF Knights	L	58 - 85
2025-01-29	@	Texas Tech Red Raiders	L	57 - 71
2025-02-02	vs	Colorado Buffaloes	W	68 - 57
2025-02-05	vs	West Virginia Mountaineers	W	65 - 60
2025-02-08	@	Iowa State Cyclones	L	52 - 82
2025-02-12	vs	Oklahoma State Cowboys	W	73 - 72
2025-02-15	@	Arizona State Sun Devils	W	74 - 70
2025-02-18	vs	Texas Tech Red Raiders	W	69 - 66
2025-02-22	@	Cincinnati Bearcats	L	63 - 75
2025-02-25	@	West Virginia Mountaineers	L	55 - 73
2025-03-01	vs	UCF Knights	W	89 - 78
2025-03-04	vs	Baylor Bears	L	58 - 61
2025-03-08	@	Colorado Buffaloes	L	56 - 76
2025-03-11	vs	Colorado Buffaloes	L	67 - 69

2025 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Noah Reynolds	G	31	31.5	12.5	2.2	3.0	0.7	0.1	1.8	10.1	6.5	-	-	-	-	42.7	34.1	74.5	-	53.8	49.4
Vasean Allette	PG	32	29.2	11.4	4.1	3.5	1.3	0.2	2.9	11.9	5.8	-85	25	-3.4	-4.2	37.5	22.2	71.3	0.89	43.6	39.9
Frankie Collins	G	9	30.9	11.2	4.4	4.4	1.9	0.2	2.3	10.0	9.9	46	9	5.1	6.5	42.2	26.1	59.4	0.44	48.5	45.6
Trazarien White	F	32	25.4	9.2	2.9	0.9	1.3	0.1	0.8	8.2	5.4	-	-	-	-	39.0	32.0	62.8	-	49.3	46.4
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	30	26.6	6.6	7.5	1.2	1.4	1.3	1.1	3.7	13.1	-10	29	-0.3	-0.5	63.4	0	59.8	2.42	64.6	63.4
David Punch	F	32	20.4	6.5	4.4	0.6	0.5	0.9	1.2	5.4	6.3	-25	27	-0.9	-1.6	47.7	27.6	52.9	0.87	51.5	50.0
Brendan Wenzel	G	29	21.7	6.4	2.4	0.8	0.7	0.1	0.6	6.1	3.7	-	-	-	-	34.5	32.0	70.6	-	48.2	45.5
Micah Robinson	F	32	14.0	5.3	1.8	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.6	4.3	3.2	-27	19	-1.4	-4.1	39.6	31.9	76.5	-0.15	53.0	47.5
Jace Posey	G	31	12.8	4.3	2.3	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.6	3.7	3.4	-37	18	-2.1	-6.0	42.1	27.8	53.1	0.22	48.7	46.5
Cole Despie	-	1	1.0	3.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	2.0	-	-	-	-	100.0	100.0	0	-	150.0	150.0
Malick Diallo	C	29	10.9	2.2	2.7	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.8	1.8	3.4	-33	17	-1.9	-6.8	49.0	0	55.6	-0.0	51.7	49.0
Isaiah Manning	F	24	7.3	2.0	0.8	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.1	2.4	0.7	-26	10	-2.6	-11.9	29.8	20.9	71.4	-0.16	39.9	37.7
Drew McElroy	G	2	1.0	1.5	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5	1.5	-	-	-	-	100.0	100.0	0	-	150.0	150.0
Adam Stewart	C	2	1.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.5	-	-	-	-	100.0	0	0	-	100.0	100.0
RJ Jones	G	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Ashton Simmons	G	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Trey Stuart	G	2	1.0	0.0	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.0	-	-	-	-	0.0	0	0	-	0.0	0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2024-2025 Shot Zones

705 located field-goal attempts in 12 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Noah ReynoldsVasean AlletteTrazarien WhiteBrendan WenzelErnest Udeh Jr.

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	101-177	57.1	202	Ernest Udeh Jr. 22% (44 pts)	Vasean Allette 13% (26 pts)	Noah Reynolds 21% (16 misses)	Vasean Allette 21% (16 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	92-210	43.8	184	Vasean Allette 27% (50 pts)	Noah Reynolds 20% (36 pts)	Vasean Allette 28% (33 misses)	Noah Reynolds 20% (24 misses)
Mid-range left	5-17	29.4	10	Vasean Allette 40% (4 pts)	Brendan Wenzel 20% (2 pts)	Vasean Allette 33% (4 misses)	Trazarien White 25% (3 misses)
Mid-range center	6-14	42.9	12	Brendan Wenzel 33% (4 pts)	Vasean Allette 33% (4 pts)	Vasean Allette 38% (3 misses)	Noah Reynolds 25% (2 misses)
Mid-range right	15-44	34.1	30	Vasean Allette 40% (12 pts)	Noah Reynolds 20% (6 pts)	Vasean Allette 41% (12 misses)	Trazarien White 21% (6 misses)
Left corner 3	10-23	43.5	30	Brendan Wenzel 50% (15 pts)	Jace Posey 20% (6 pts)	Brendan Wenzel 23% (3 misses)	Noah Reynolds 23% (3 misses)
Right corner 3	8-25	32.0	24	Noah Reynolds 62% (15 pts)	Micah Robinson 12% (3 pts)	Noah Reynolds 35% (6 misses)	Micah Robinson 18% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 left	21-71	29.6	63	Noah Reynolds 29% (18 pts)	Vasean Allette 24% (15 pts)	Brendan Wenzel 26% (13 misses)	Noah Reynolds 20% (10 misses)
Above-break 3 center	10-44	22.7	30	Noah Reynolds 40% (12 pts)	Brendan Wenzel 20% (6 pts)	Trazarien White 35% (12 misses)	Vasean Allette 24% (8 misses)
Above-break 3 right	22-80	27.5	66	Noah Reynolds 36% (24 pts)	Trazarien White 32% (21 pts)	Noah Reynolds 22% (13 misses)	Brendan Wenzel 21% (12 misses)