Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.6% | 93.4% | +14.6 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. O'Garro * | 35 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | -2.0 |
| C. Turner * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| T. Pope * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | +4.8 |
| D. Dawson * | 28 | 4-12 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | +0.1 |
| K. Gumbs * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | -10.0 |
| D. Drinnon | 33 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1.8 |
| A. Green | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.3 |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Reynolds * | 32 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4.6 |
| F. Collins * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | +4.1 |
| T. White * | 30 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | +3.8 |
| B. Wenzel * | 28 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +0.1 |
| E. Udeh Jr. * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | +12.2 |
| D. Punch | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +1.3 |
| V. Allette | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -11.8 |
| I. Manning | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.9 |
| J. Posey | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2.0 |
| M. Robinson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0.9 |
| M. Diallo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter