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2024-11-15

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 7.1% 92.9% -
Bradley-Terry 13.8% 86.2% -
Margin 9.1% 90.9% +12.7 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% -
Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.1% 89.9% -
Log Adjusted 9.9% 90.1% -
Points Off/Def 24.4% 75.6% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +12 (76-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Reynolds * 33 1-5 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 3 1 -9.5
T. White * 31 5-12 0-2 6-7 6 2 2 1 1 16 14 -16.5
B. Wenzel * 30 5-12 5-9 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 15 7 -6.3
D. Punch * 27 3-8 0-0 0-2 7 0 2 0 2 6 5 -0.9
F. Collins * 25 3-12 0-2 1-2 3 3 2 0 1 7 2 -7.9
V. Allette 20 2-9 0-4 2-3 0 2 2 0 3 6 -2 -4.8
M. Diallo 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 -2.1
M. Robinson 13 2-4 0-1 5-6 2 0 2 0 0 9 9 -3.3
J. Posey 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -4.2
I. Manning 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 +0.2

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Donaldson * 29 5-9 2-5 2-2 2 3 1 0 2 14 9 +12.1
D. Wolf * 27 6-11 1-3 1-4 14 4 0 2 4 14 19 +12.5
R. Gayle Jr. * 27 3-8 0-2 2-3 6 2 3 0 4 8 7 +15.3
N. Burnett * 25 6-7 3-4 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 16 15 -1.5
V. Goldin * 23 2-5 0-0 4-6 8 0 1 1 3 8 10 +2.8
R. Jones 24 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 3 2 1 2 2 5 +17.5
S. Walters 16 3-5 2-4 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 10 6 -1.6
W. Tschetter 13 1-3 1-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 +1.5
J. Pippen 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 +12.2
L.J. Cason 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -4 -8.0
P. Brooks 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.0

* = starter