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Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Also known as: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Program History

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

63.0
PPG
51.2
Opp
+13.6
Margin
53.1%
FG%
38.9%
3P%
48.4%
FT%
34.0
RPG
17.0
APG
17.5
TO
73.3
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1338 (#142) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1337 (#121) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1151 (#21) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +24.6 (#146) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +12.9 (#103) HCA +3.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +18.8 More → 0.927 (#13) NetEff +18.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 52.6 More → 0.667 (#49) AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 52.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.842 (#68) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.825 (#63) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 126 | GP 32 More → 1260 (#38) RD 126 | GP 32

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Howard Payne Yellow Jackets W 84 - 30
2012-11-17 @ Florida International Panthers W 69 - 60
2012-11-20 vs Jarvis Christian Bulldogs W 78 - 39
2012-11-24 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 57 - 41
2012-12-01 vs San Diego Toreros W 56 - 51
2012-12-05 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 54 - 62
2012-12-08 vs LSU Shreveport Pilots W 73 - 46
2012-12-15 vs Lubbock Christian Chaparrals W 78 - 67
2012-12-18 @ Oklahoma Sooners W 56 - 55
2012-12-20 vs Grambling Tigers W 60 - 38
2012-12-29 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 67 - 56
2013-01-03 vs Lamar Cardinals W 79 - 43
2013-01-05 vs McNeese Cowboys W 71 - 43
2013-01-10 @ Central Arkansas Bears W 77 - 69
2013-01-12 @ Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 61 - 50
2013-01-17 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 52 - 40
2013-01-19 vs Nicholls Colonels W 72 - 49
2013-01-26 @ Northwestern State Demons L 57 - 61
2013-01-30 @ McNeese Cowboys W 59 - 39
2013-02-02 @ Lamar Cardinals W 65 - 51
2013-02-07 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 72 - 36
2013-02-09 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 77 - 67
2013-02-14 @ Nicholls Colonels W 63 - 51
2013-02-16 @ SE Louisiana Lions L 50 - 54
2013-02-20 @ Sam Houston Bearkats W 50 - 44
2013-02-22 @ Long Beach State Beach W 68 - 60
2013-03-02 vs Northwestern State Demons W 64 - 63
2013-03-07 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 57 - 42
2013-03-09 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 58 - 49
2013-03-15 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 68 - 57
2013-03-16 vs Northwestern State Demons L 66 - 68
2013-03-19 @ Stanford Cardinal L 57 - 58

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Smith T. Smith F 32 33.8 15.7 9.2 1.8 1.0 2.8 1.9 1.2 27.3 375 11.7 15.5 77.5 0 40.9 1.66 504.2 77.5
A. Bostic A. Bostic G 32 31.6 10.8 3.4 1.6 1.4 0.2 1.5 1.8 14.2 328 10.2 14.5 42.9 42.9 68.8 1.35 274.4 50.9
D. Haymon D. Haymon G 32 30.5 10.6 4.9 1.2 0.6 0.0 1.2 1.2 14.8 309 9.7 14.4 35.0 38.5 61.5 1.08 369.6 41.2
H. Bateman H. Bateman G 32 27.7 7.3 2.9 5.7 1.6 0.2 2.7 1.1 13.8 266 8.3 14.1 50.0 100.0 50.0 1.05 250.2 51.4
J. Parker J. Parker F 32 23.5 7.2 4.3 1.4 0.7 0.2 1.3 1.0 11.4 261 8.2 15.9 50.0 50.0 66.7 0.63 343.6 56.2
T. Walkup T. Walkup F 32 18.5 4.4 3.6 1.3 0.8 0.1 0.9 0.4 8.9 235 7.3 15.5 33.3 0 100.0 1.27 543.5 33.3
N. Gajic N. Gajic F 17 8.6 2.6 2.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.6 0.3 4.9 54 3.0 11.5 80.0 100.0 100.0 0.38 404.4 90.0
D. Walker D. Walker G 25 7.8 2.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.2 2.9 87 3.6 15.7 16.7 0.0 0 0.37 541.7 16.7
I. Asortse I. Asortse F 25 6.6 2.4 1.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.8 0.1 3.2 56 2.2 9.7 50.0 0 0 0.26 1475.0 50.0
R. Baxter Jr. R. Baxter Jr. F 13 4.6 1.8 1.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.0 3.2 27 1.8 11.5 0 0 0 0.25 0 0
J. Harrison J. Harrison G 15 6.6 1.7 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.0 2.3 48 2.8 14.2 0 0 0 0.27 0 0
T. Pinkney T. Pinkney G 32 9.1 1.2 0.6 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.8 0.2 2.9 108 3.5 11.2 40.0 50.0 0 0.25 400.0 50.0
D. Toskovic D. Toskovic F 9 3.7 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.9 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Bright J. Bright F 12 3.4 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 1.3 8 0.7 2.1 0.0 0 0 -0.32 600.0 0.0
A. Perez A. Perez G 13 5.2 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.8 128 4.4 15.0 0 0 0.0 1.45 454.5 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG