Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Northwestern State Demons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern State Demons +4 (61-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Haymon * | 39 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | +3.4 |
| Taylor Smith * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 24 | +12.6 |
| Antonio Bostic * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +0.8 |
| Jacob Parker * | 26 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Hal Bateman * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3.1 |
| Trey Pinkney | 26 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Thomas Walkup | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Deshaunt Walker | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | +0.8 |
| Ice Asortse | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.7 |
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamir Davis * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Gary Stewart * | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -11.1 |
| O.J. Evans * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.3 |
| Gary Roberson * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -10.2 |
| Marvin Frazier * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -11.6 |
| Jalan West | 31 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +6.9 |
| James Hulbin | 29 | 7-10 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +11.6 |
| DeQuan Hicks | 26 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | +7.4 |
| Patrick Robinson | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +2.5 |
| Brison White | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +4.5 |
* = starter