Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | McNeese Cowboys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.3% | 2.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.4% | 2.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: McNeese Cowboys -20 (39-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Smith * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 11-15 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 37 | +8.3 |
| Antonio Bostic * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +9.9 |
| Jacob Parker * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | +14.1 |
| Desmond Haymon * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +3.3 |
| Hal Bateman * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | +10.1 |
| Thomas Walkup | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Trey Pinkney | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.1 |
| Deshaunt Walker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.8 |
| Ice Asortse | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2.7 |
| Adam Perez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Joe Bright | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Rex Baxter Jr. | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2.6 |
| Jared Harrison | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.5 |
McNeese Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Hardy * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +3.4 |
| Dontae Cannon * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -8.1 |
| Desharick Guidry * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -8.9 |
| Jeremie Mitchell * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | -23.2 |
| Craig McFerrin | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Adrian Fields | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -4.6 |
| Keelan Garrett | 13 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +8.6 |
| Austin Lewis | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Brandon Regis | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | -7.0 |
| Shaun Johnson | 8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +3.2 |
| Josh Jagneaux | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Wells | 6 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -3.6 |
| Pete Kpan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
* = starter