Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Texas A&M Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas A&M Aggies +8 (62-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hal Bateman * | 39 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -9.3 |
| Antonio Bostic * | 35 | 6-17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | -4.9 |
| Taylor Smith * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | -6.8 |
| Jacob Parker * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | -6.6 |
| Desmond Haymon * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Thomas Walkup | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -9.0 |
| Nikola Gajic | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.9 |
| Ice Asortse | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Deshaunt Walker | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -11.2 |
| Trey Pinkney | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -6.4 |
Texas A&M Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Turner * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | +21.8 |
| Fabyon Harris * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | +1.2 |
| Kourtney Roberson * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Alex Caruso * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +12.5 |
| Elston Turner Jr. * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5.3 |
| J-Mychal Reese | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | +14.1 |
| Jordan Green | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +10.1 |
| Andrew Young | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +9.7 |
| Keith Davis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Jarod Jahns | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
* = starter