Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017

Also known as: Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Program History

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

72.3

PPG

68.2

Opp

+4.1

Margin

42.2%

FG%

33.0%

3P%

73.0%

FT%

41.5

RPG

15.2

APG

15.4

71.8

Est. poss./game

66.7

Adj PPG

69.3

Adj Opp PPG

#193

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	899 (#230)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	999 (#183)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More →	951 (#244)	HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More →	-2.7 (#193)	HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More →	-7.0 (#248)	HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.487 (#176)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -0.4 More →	0.487 (#176)	NetEff -0.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.3 More →	0.379 (#197)	AdjNet -4.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.5 More →	0.372 (#197)	AdjNet -4.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.7 \| AdjD 69.3 More →	0.442 (#193)	AdjO 66.7 \| AdjD 69.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.6 \| AdjD 69.9 More →	0.404 (#241)	AdjO 65.6 \| AdjD 69.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.397 (#213)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.390 (#222)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 110 \| GP 29 More →	968 (#200)	RD 110 \| GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-03	vs	Park University Gilbert Buccaneers	W	103 - 55
2025-11-08	vs	Washington State Cougars	W	77 - 64
2025-11-13	@	Eastern Washington Eagles	W	74 - 68
2025-11-15	@	Idaho Vandals	L	72 - 76
2025-11-18	vs	Benedictine Mesa Redhawks	W	91 - 68
2025-11-21	@	Cal Poly Mustangs	W	85 - 80
2025-11-29	vs	Nelson American Indian Warriors	W	111 - 41
2025-12-04	vs	New Mexico State Aggies	W	69 - 59
2025-12-07	@	Colorado State Rams	L	47 - 70
2025-12-13	@	Boise State Broncos	L	66 - 81
2025-12-20	@	Omaha Mavericks	W	80 - 47
2025-12-21	@	Loyola Marymount Lions	L	68 - 76
2025-12-29	vs	Utah Tech Trailblazers	W	78 - 60
2026-01-03	@	UT Arlington Mavericks	W	58 - 55
2026-01-08	vs	Utah Valley Wolverines	W	76 - 68
2026-01-10	vs	California Baptist Lancers	L	77 - 82
2026-01-15	@	Tarleton State Texans	L	55 - 81
2026-01-17	@	Abilene Christian Wildcats	L	54 - 82
2026-01-22	@	Utah Valley Wolverines	W	64 - 60
2026-01-24	vs	Utah Tech Trailblazers	W	62 - 49
2026-01-29	vs	UT Arlington Mavericks	W	77 - 68
2026-01-31	vs	Abilene Christian Wildcats	W	71 - 68
2026-02-07	@	Tarleton State Texans	L	57 - 59
2026-02-12	@	California Baptist Lancers	W	85 - 70
2026-02-14	vs	UT Arlington Mavericks	W	78 - 67
2026-02-18	vs	Tarleton State Texans	W	76 - 69
2026-02-22	vs	Abilene Christian Wildcats	W	78 - 70
2026-02-28	@	Utah Tech Trailblazers	L	66 - 83
2026-03-05	@	Utah Valley Wolverines	L	53 - 74
2026-03-07	@	California Baptist Lancers	L	61 - 77
2026-03-12	vs	UT Arlington Mavericks	L	65 - 70
2026-03-22	@	Pepperdine Waves	L	80 - 85

2026 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Sierra Chambers	G	32	35.2	14.8	2.1	3.8	0.7	0.1	2.9	12.2	6.2	30	28	1.1	1.2	36.8	27.5	81.9	-0.54	50.3	41.8
Ava Uhrich	F	32	30.6	14.6	9.9	2.6	0.8	0.4	2.1	11.9	14.3	58	28	2.1	2.7	46.7	27.9	73.7	0.9	53.9	49.9
Brooklyn Fely	F	30	23.6	13.1	8.4	2.3	0.6	0.5	2.1	10.5	12.3	34	26	1.3	2.3	47.8	28.2	69.6	0.92	53.6	49.5
Devyn Kiernan	G	32	26.1	7.2	1.8	1.3	0.5	0.4	1.6	6.4	3.2	-12	28	-0.4	-0.7	39.0	38.3	57.1	-3.49	52.4	51.5
Kortney Doman	G	32	32.7	6.7	6.4	2.3	1.2	1.0	2.4	6.0	9.3	75	28	2.7	3.3	38.7	35.7	78.3	0.98	49.4	44.0
Morgan Trigueiro	G	31	12.1	4.8	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.6	3.9	1.8	-31	27	-1.1	-4.0	41.7	44.8	81.8	-3.95	59.3	57.9
Ashley Banks	C	32	12.9	3.5	3.5	0.7	0.1	0.8	1.1	2.2	5.3	7	28	0.2	0.8	56.5	0	57.9	-0.57	59.0	56.5
Denver Anderson	F	32	10.6	3.4	2.1	0.6	0.2	0.2	0.6	2.9	3.0	20	28	0.7	2.9	37.6	30.3	69.8	0.57	49.1	43.0
Olivia Malafu	F	22	6.7	2.5	1.7	0.5	0.2	0.3	0.4	2.0	2.8	4	19	0.2	1.5	52.3	0	61.5	-1.7	54.3	52.3
Vallory Kuelker	G	10	5.5	2.1	0.7	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.3	2.2	0.6	14	7	2.0	21.0	27.3	26.3	66.7	-1.49	42.6	38.6
Emily Scholtes	F	9	6.7	1.9	1.4	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.3	2.0	1.7	21	6	3.5	38.6	27.8	14.3	75.0	0.68	39.5	30.6
Bella Hasan	G	32	8.2	1.6	1.0	0.8	0.3	0.1	1.0	1.4	1.2	16	28	0.6	3.2	28.9	15.4	78.6	-1.87	43.6	31.1
Charli Kay	G	19	5.5	1.3	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.9	0.7	9	13	0.7	5.4	50.0	40.0	33.3	-2.07	64.7	66.7
Joss Baker	G	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Nike Borg	C	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1912 located field-goal attempts in 32 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Ava UhrichSierra ChambersBrooklyn FelyDevyn KiernanKortney DomanMorgan Trigueiro

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	143-250	57.2	286	Brooklyn Fely 29% (82 pts)	Ava Uhrich 24% (68 pts)	Brooklyn Fely 21% (23 misses)	Sierra Chambers 20% (21 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	392-781	50.2	784	Ava Uhrich 28% (222 pts)	Brooklyn Fely 24% (188 pts)	Brooklyn Fely 26% (101 misses)	Ava Uhrich 18% (70 misses)
Mid-range left	27-104	26.0	54	Sierra Chambers 22% (12 pts)	Devyn Kiernan 19% (10 pts)	Ava Uhrich 23% (18 misses)	Sierra Chambers 23% (18 misses)
Mid-range center	18-46	39.1	36	Sierra Chambers 39% (14 pts)	Ava Uhrich 11% (4 pts)	Sierra Chambers 57% (16 misses)	Olivia Malafu 11% (3 misses)
Mid-range right	35-119	29.4	70	Sierra Chambers 29% (20 pts)	Ava Uhrich 17% (12 pts)	Ava Uhrich 40% (34 misses)	Sierra Chambers 27% (23 misses)
Left corner 3	13-57	22.8	39	Morgan Trigueiro 38% (15 pts)	Devyn Kiernan 23% (9 pts)	Kortney Doman 30% (13 misses)	Sierra Chambers 18% (8 misses)
Right corner 3	11-39	28.2	33	Ava Uhrich 18% (6 pts)	Devyn Kiernan 18% (6 pts)	Devyn Kiernan 21% (6 misses)	Morgan Trigueiro 21% (6 misses)
Above-break 3 left	63-192	32.8	189	Devyn Kiernan 30% (57 pts)	Morgan Trigueiro 24% (45 pts)	Sierra Chambers 26% (34 misses)	Devyn Kiernan 26% (33 misses)
Above-break 3 center	36-113	31.9	108	Devyn Kiernan 31% (33 pts)	Sierra Chambers 22% (24 pts)	Sierra Chambers 25% (19 misses)	Ava Uhrich 18% (14 misses)
Above-break 3 right	69-211	32.7	207	Sierra Chambers 29% (60 pts)	Devyn Kiernan 20% (42 pts)	Sierra Chambers 27% (38 misses)	Ava Uhrich 19% (27 misses)