Model Predictions
| Model | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.4% | 30.6% | -4.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +8 (78-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Woodson | 40 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| P. Hull | 33 | 11-23 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 12 | - |
| E. Troxell | 33 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Davis | 30 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| N. Chavez | 25 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Flippen | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Stone | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Grohman | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Coleman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Uhrich | 40 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 26 | - |
| K. Doman | 35 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| S. Chambers | 31 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| D. Kiernan | 27 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Fely | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| A. Banks | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| B. Hasan | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Trigueiro | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Anderson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Kay | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter