Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Idaho Vandals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho Vandals +4 (76-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kortney Doman | 40 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | -0.5 |
| Sierra Chambers | 38 | 4-19 | 1-4 | 10-10 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Ava Uhrich | 35 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 2-6 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 22 | -0.1 |
| Devyn Kiernan | 21 | 4-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | +3.8 |
| Ashley Banks | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4.1 |
| Morgan Trigueiro | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.6 |
| Brooklyn Fely | 14 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +3.8 |
| Denver Anderson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Olivia Malafu | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Bella Hasan | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.5 |
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ana Pinheiro | 33 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | -3.0 |
| Hope Hassmann | 33 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 9-9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | +8.2 |
| Kyra Gardner | 23 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -5.6 |
| Ella Uriarte | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +4.0 |
| Mary McMorris | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -10.1 |
| A. Passos Alves da Silva | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | +10.1 |
| Lorena Barbosa | 17 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Debora Dos Santos | 15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +2.7 |
| Sarah Brans | 8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Niveya Henley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +9.6 |
| Katlin Kangur | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.4 |
* = starter