🐻⬇️🏀

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Also known as: Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Program History

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1176 (#240) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1169 (#265) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +18.2 (#262) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.456 (#71) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.1 More → 0.098 (#108) AdjNet -19.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.2 More → 0.097 (#108) AdjNet -19.2

2012 Schedule & Results

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Stevenett J. Stevenett F 26 32.2 14.2 5.7 1.5 0.7 0.7 2.0 2.5 18.2 - - - 55.4 66.7 80.0 - 250.7 56.9
R. Taylor R. Taylor F 26 29.8 12.0 4.8 1.1 0.6 0.5 3.1 2.7 13.2 - - - 44.3 33.3 73.9 0.39 194.1 45.0
D. Heuir D. Heuir G 25 31.7 11.7 3.2 3.2 0.7 0.2 1.5 2.1 15.4 - - - 41.5 21.4 77.8 - 239.7 44.3
R. Jones, Jr. R. Jones, Jr. G 26 33.1 9.7 4.2 4.6 1.2 0.3 2.3 1.2 16.5 20 4.0 2.0 61.3 57.1 57.9 1.51 321.4 67.7
M. Massey M. Massey C 26 29.3 9.5 4.2 1.3 0.4 0.3 1.9 1.5 12.3 - - - 48.7 0.0 81.2 - 269.3 48.7
W. Collie W. Collie G-F 25 17.8 4.5 2.8 1.4 0.7 0.0 0.9 0.7 7.8 - - - 38.9 0.0 75.0 - 260.2 38.9
C. Hanks C. Hanks C 1 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Scott J. Scott F 12 7.5 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.2 0.5 2.9 43 7.2 6.1 66.7 0 50.0 0.84 254.4 66.7
J. Johnson J. Johnson G 26 13.3 2.3 2.0 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.2 5.4 16 1.8 1.4 66.7 0 100.0 1.19 341.4 66.7
T. Koehler T. Koehler F-C 18 7.7 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.2 2.9 - - - 50.0 0 57.1 - 268.4 50.0
J. Jeffery J. Jeffery F 18 6.4 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 2.6 - - - 33.3 0 0.0 - 266.2 33.3
B. Cameron B. Cameron G 3 3.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Nsenki C. Nsenki G 16 5.8 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG