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South Alabama Jaguars

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: South Alabama Jaguars
Program History
Coach: Ronnie Arrow

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1302 (#161) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1203 (#224) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 967 (#467) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +23.1 (#163) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +5.2 (#224) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 65.8 More → 0.486 (#273) AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 65.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.616 (#208) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.589 (#210) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 123 | GP 30 More → 1010 (#203) RD 123 | GP 30

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Florida State Seminoles W 76 - 71
2012-11-14 vs William Carey Crusaders W 82 - 64
2012-11-19 vs Tennessee State Tigers L 57 - 68
2012-11-20 @ Monmouth Hawks L 71 - 73
2012-11-21 @ Georgia State Panthers L 73 - 75
2012-11-29 @ Florida Atlantic Owls W 77 - 66
2012-12-01 @ Florida International Panthers W 79 - 68
2012-12-04 vs New Mexico State Aggies L 52 - 58
2012-12-08 @ UAB Blazers L 78 - 92
2012-12-16 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 74 - 69
2012-12-22 vs Little Rock Trojans W 77 - 62
2012-12-29 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves L 54 - 63
2013-01-03 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 77 - 72
2013-01-05 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 56 - 60
2013-01-10 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 91 - 89
2013-01-12 @ North Texas Mean Green L 56 - 66
2013-01-17 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 71 - 56
2013-01-24 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 65 - 57
2013-01-27 vs Florida International Panthers W 60 - 58
2013-01-31 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 62 - 74
2013-02-02 @ Little Rock Trojans W 70 - 66
2013-02-07 vs Troy Trojans W 65 - 62
2013-02-09 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 72 - 71
2013-02-14 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 88 - 64
2013-02-21 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 50 - 85
2013-02-23 vs North Texas Mean Green W 69 - 57
2013-02-28 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 73 - 79
2013-03-02 @ Troy Trojans W 53 - 49
2013-03-09 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 59 - 62
2013-03-20 @ Tulane Green Wave L 73 - 84

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Rubit A. Rubit F 30 33.2 19.4 10.5 1.1 0.7 1.2 2.5 0.8 29.7 67 2.3 3.1 43.5 0 75.0 1.06 968.7 43.5
X. Roberson X. Roberson G 11 26.7 13.6 3.5 1.5 1.2 0.1 1.8 1.0 17.1 43 3.9 6.4 54.5 62.5 75.0 0.43 516.5 77.3
M. Ammons M. Ammons G 30 28.4 10.8 6.3 1.1 0.9 0.9 2.1 0.4 17.5 -1 -0.0 -0.1 27.3 0.0 50.0 -0.03 1184.0 27.3
A. Allen A. Allen G 30 26.3 9.1 3.0 1.4 1.3 0.2 2.0 0.5 12.4 14 0.5 0.8 25.0 25.0 75.0 0.42 765.8 31.2
F. Goldstein F. Goldstein G 19 28.8 7.9 2.3 2.4 1.2 0.1 3.7 0.7 9.5 -8 -0.4 -0.7 38.5 33.3 75.0 0.09 508.1 46.2
J. Carter J. Carter F 29 24.3 7.1 6.7 0.6 0.9 2.5 1.4 0.2 16.1 -3 -0.1 -0.2 100.0 0 60.0 0.06 1119.6 100.0
D. Conner D. Conner G 28 21.7 5.1 1.4 2.2 0.5 0.0 1.8 0.3 7.0 -39 -1.4 -2.8 33.3 33.3 100.0 -0.53 497.2 38.9
A. Stevens A. Stevens G 28 19.8 3.7 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.1 1.4 0.2 5.0 - - - 42.9 25.0 0 -0.34 742.9 50.0
T. Anderson T. Anderson G 20 17.1 3.6 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.1 1.2 0.2 6.0 -34 -1.7 -2.9 20.0 25.0 50.0 -0.51 539.9 30.0
W. Wright W. Wright G 17 14.2 1.7 1.1 1.2 0.3 0.2 1.1 0.0 3.3 -1 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0
G. Magee G. Magee - 6 2.8 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.8 -25 -4.2 -26.8 0 0 0 -0.32 0 0
V. Juricek V. Juricek F 21 4.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2 -21 -0.9 -2.9 100.0 0 0 -0.44 650.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG