Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -4 (66-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dre Conner * | 36 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -9.9 |
| Antoine Allen * | 34 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | -0.4 |
| Augustine Rubit * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 15 | -7.1 |
| Javier Carter * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +5.9 |
| Mychal Ammons * | 22 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | -6.2 |
| Trey Anderson | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Barrington Stevens | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +10.4 |
| Viktor Juricek | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +9.5 |
| Wendell Wright | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.8 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Neighbour * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Leroy Isler * | 26 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -6.4 |
| Ben Dillard * | 20 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5.5 |
| Michael Javes * | 19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| John Gillon | 30 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +13.2 |
| James White | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -7.9 |
| Josh Hagins | 18 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | -6.4 |
| Kemy Osse | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -7.7 |
| Gus Leeper | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5.4 |
| Taggart Lockhart | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -2.8 |
| Stetson Billings | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
* = starter