Model Predictions
| Model | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +8 (65-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Harris * | 38 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | -6.2 |
| T.J. Price * | 35 | 4-14 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 2 | -2.7 |
| Kevin Kaspar * | 27 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4 | -8.5 |
| Aleksej Rostov * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +2.9 |
| George Fant * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | +10.6 |
| Caden Dickerson | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9.3 |
| Stephon Drane | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -13.6 |
| Teeng Akol | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -4.1 |
| O'Karo Akamune | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Percy Blade | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.6 |
| Marcus Vasquez | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augustine Rubit * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 23 | -1.9 |
| Mychal Ammons * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Antoine Allen * | 29 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 8-10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +4.9 |
| Dre Conner * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -17.2 |
| Freddie Goldstein * | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | +4.9 |
| Wendell Wright | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +6.6 |
| Javier Carter | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +12.2 |
| Barrington Stevens | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +11.7 |
* = starter