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San Francisco

Also known as: San Francisco Dons, San Francisco
Program History

2015 Team Stats (2 games)

66.5
PPG
84.5
Opp
-18.0
Margin
44.8%
FG%
31.0%
3P%
56.5%
FT%
34.5
RPG
11.5
APG
14.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.8
Adj PPG
65.2
Adj Opp PPG
#129
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1065 (#126) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 956 (#210) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More โ†’ 976 (#202) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +3.0 (#125) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +0.4 (#163) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.511 (#168) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.9 More โ†’ 0.636 (#124) AdjNet +4.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.0 More โ†’ 0.640 (#124) AdjNet +5.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 65.2 More โ†’ 0.559 (#129) AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 65.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 66.1 More โ†’ 0.482 (#186) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 66.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.551 (#141) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.536 (#154) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1016 (#159) RD 149 | GP 31

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-16 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 91 - 52
2014-11-19 vs Notre Dame de Namur Argonauts W 86 - 46
2014-11-24 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors W 88 - 73
2014-11-25 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 47 - 62
2014-11-26 @ Evansville Purple Aces L 72 - 79
2014-11-30 vs Montana Grizzlies W 76 - 57
2014-12-03 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 55 - 72
2014-12-07 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 85 - 54
2014-12-11 vs Eastern Washington Eagles L 76 - 81
2014-12-15 vs Cal Poly Mustangs L 71 - 78
2014-12-18 vs Portland State Vikings W 77 - 40
2014-12-21 @ Cleveland State Vikings L 65 - 69
2014-12-27 @ Pacific Tigers W 77 - 71
2014-12-29 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 56 - 69
2015-01-01 vs San Diego Toreros L 56 - 57
2015-01-03 vs BYU Cougars L 68 - 99
2015-01-08 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 57 - 88
2015-01-10 @ Portland Pilots W 89 - 77
2015-01-17 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 64 - 70
2015-01-22 vs Pepperdine Waves W 71 - 59
2015-01-24 vs Loyola Marymount Lions L 69 - 70
2015-01-29 @ BYU Cougars L 74 - 78
2015-01-31 @ San Diego Toreros L 69 - 77
2015-02-05 vs Portland Pilots L 57 - 69
2015-02-07 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs L 70 - 81
2015-02-12 vs Santa Clara Broncos W 69 - 62
2015-02-19 @ Loyola Marymount Lions W 72 - 45
2015-02-21 @ Pepperdine Waves W 56 - 54
2015-02-26 vs Saint Mary's Gaels L 53 - 84
2015-02-28 vs Pacific Tigers W 65 - 55
2015-03-06 vs Pacific Tigers W 62 - 58
2015-03-07 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 72 - 81

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kruize Pinkins Kruize Pinkins F 30 26.5 13.8 5.6 1.2 0.7 0.4 1.9 1.9 17.9 67 23 2.9 4.9 48.3 50.0 69.0 0.72 270.0 56.0
Mark Tollefsen Mark Tollefsen F 30 31.3 13.4 5.2 1.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 2.1 18.5 70 23 3.0 4.4 46.0 35.7 61.5 1.42 291.8 54.0
Tim Derksen Tim Derksen G 30 29.4 12.7 4.5 2.3 1.0 0.1 1.5 1.9 17.2 51 23 2.2 3.4 42.1 40.9 58.3 -0.11 261.5 50.0
Devin Watson Devin Watson G 29 24.2 8.7 1.8 2.7 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.2 10.9 23 22 1.0 2.1 35.3 20.0 64.3 -0.86 315.0 38.2
Matt Glover Matt Glover G 30 26.2 5.4 5.2 3.0 1.2 0.3 1.9 1.0 12.2 45 23 2.0 3.2 38.7 45.5 16.7 -0.99 224.6 46.8
Chris Adams Chris Adams G 30 18.1 4.4 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.6 5.9 78 23 3.4 8.4 22.2 23.5 0 2.11 366.7 33.3
Matt Christiansen Matt Christiansen F 30 17.9 4.3 3.4 0.8 0.2 0.4 1.0 0.6 7.6 35 22 1.6 3.8 42.1 0 0.0 0.17 334.4 42.1
Uche Ofoegbu Uche Ofoegbu G 1 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 8 10 0.8 5.8 100.0 0 0.0 -0.06 82.0 100.0
Corey Hilliard Corey Hilliard G 22 12.7 3.1 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.6 1.0 3.9 28 17 1.6 5.2 31.8 20.0 25.0 1.29 145.2 36.4
Derrell Robertson Derrell Robertson C 2 8.5 2.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.5 1 18 0.1 0.3 100.0 0 0 -0.77 100.0 100.0
Frankie Ferrari Frankie Ferrari G 14 9.1 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.6 2.1 -4 11 -0.4 -1.9 44.4 20.0 0.0 -3.01 100.6 50.0
Dominique Williams Dominique Williams - 3 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
David Irby David Irby - 3 1.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Chase Foster Chase Foster F 7 4.7 0.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 1.6 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.87 300.0 0.0
Gavin Hoffmann Gavin Hoffmann G 14 4.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 7 12 0.6 6.3 0.0 0 66.7 -0.85 81.0 0.0
Montray Clemons Montray Clemons F 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -6 11 -0.5 -7.4 0.0 0.0 0 -2.18 0.0 0.0
Nick Loew Nick Loew F 5 1.8 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -0.05 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG