Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.3% | 80.7% | +7.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +13 (69-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kruize Pinkins * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Mark Tollefsen * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Tim Derksen * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Matt Glover * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Devin Watson | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Chris Adams | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Matt Christiansen | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Waldow * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 34 | - |
| Kerry Carter * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Dane Pineau * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Garrett Jackson | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Emmett Naar | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jock Landale | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Treaven Duffy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter