Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +19 (76-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Dunn * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Martin Breunig * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Michael Weisner * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Gregory * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Fabijan Krslovic * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Jermaine Edmonds | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Brandon Gfeller | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Riley Bradshaw | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chris Kemp | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jack Lopez | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Daniel Nwosu | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Derksen * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Matt Glover * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | - |
| Kruize Pinkins * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 30 | - |
| Mark Tollefsen * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Matt Christiansen | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Corey Hilliard | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Chris Adams | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Gavin Hoffmann | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Devin Watson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Frankie Ferrari | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Nick Loew | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter