๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2015-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 32.2% 67.8% +4.3 โœ— (16.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% - โœ—
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 โœ— (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.2% 56.8% - โœ—

Actual: San Francisco Dons -12 (57-69). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alec Wintering * 39 4-9 3-6 9-10 3 7 1 0 3 20 19 -
Kevin Bailey * 36 6-10 1-3 7-8 6 0 0 0 1 20 15 -
Bryce Pressley * 35 3-7 3-6 0-0 7 4 2 0 3 9 12 -
Thomas van der Mars * 34 2-7 0-0 3-4 13 0 1 2 2 7 14 -
Volodymyr Gerun * 28 2-7 0-0 1-4 6 0 0 3 2 5 5 -
Jason Todd 21 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 5 3 -
D'Marques Tyson 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Philipp Hartwich 1 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mark Tollefsen * 34 2-8 1-4 5-6 3 1 0 0 1 10 5 -
Devin Watson * 32 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 5 1 0 3 3 4 -
Kruize Pinkins * 31 2-9 1-3 3-4 3 0 1 2 0 8 5 -
Tim Derksen * 30 7-14 2-6 1-3 2 2 2 0 2 17 7 -
Matt Christiansen * 22 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 4 4 -
Matt Glover 19 2-3 1-2 0-0 6 4 1 0 1 5 12 -
Chris Adams 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
Frankie Ferrari 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Corey Hilliard 6 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
Chase Foster 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Derrell Robertson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter