🐻⬇️🏀

Saint Francis Red Flash

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Saint Francis Red Wolves
Program History
Coach: Keila Whittington

2022 Team Stats (29 games)

54.6
PPG
66.1
Opp
-11.4
Margin
38.6%
FG%
30.0%
3P%
69.0%
FT%
36.2
RPG
11.5
APG
18.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
52.9
Adj PPG
69.0
Adj Opp PPG
#330
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 774 (#295) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 806 (#300) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +66 elo More → 924 (#262) HCA +66 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -18.0 (#333) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.1 More → -15.3 (#320) HCA +2.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.097 (#321) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -28.7 More → 0.035 (#336) AdjNet -28.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -29.0 More → 0.032 (#337) AdjNet -29.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 52.9 | AdjD 69.0 More → 0.188 (#330) AdjO 52.9 | AdjD 69.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.0 | AdjD 65.7 More → 0.332 (#297) AdjO 58.0 | AdjD 65.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.151 (#323) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.171 (#321) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 30 More → 782 (#303) RD 140 | GP 30

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ Temple Owls L 53 - 73
2021-11-14 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 45 - 71
2021-11-16 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 33 - 86
2021-11-20 vs Longwood Lancers L 54 - 63
2021-11-28 @ Coppin State Eagles L 38 - 68
2021-12-01 @ Bucknell Bison L 31 - 68
2021-12-04 vs La Salle Explorers L 59 - 64
2021-12-08 @ Toledo Rockets L 33 - 86
2021-12-11 @ Duquesne Dukes L 61 - 70
2021-12-19 @ Georgia Lady Bulldogs L 45 - 82
2021-12-21 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 43 - 60
2021-12-29 @ Wagner Seahawks L 56 - 65
2021-12-31 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 47 - 65
2022-01-06 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 60 - 70
2022-01-08 vs Long Island University Sharks W 66 - 50
2022-01-15 vs Merrimack Warriors W 70 - 62
2022-01-17 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 70 - 62
2022-01-21 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 69 - 59
2022-01-23 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers W 69 - 66
2022-01-27 vs Wagner Seahawks L 39 - 63
2022-01-29 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 70 - 58
2022-02-03 @ Bryant Bulldogs L 36 - 58
2022-02-05 @ Merrimack Warriors L 64 - 69
2022-02-11 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 70 - 56
2022-02-17 @ Long Island University Sharks L 62 - 69
2022-02-19 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 54 - 57
2022-02-24 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils L 55 - 58
2022-02-26 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 74 - 68
2022-03-03 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 48 - 61
2022-03-07 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 53 - 69

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Mastellone J. Mastellone G 28 24.4 10.5 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.3 2.3 8.4 5.0 -161 28 -5.8 -9.5 44.0 40.8 81.2 -3.14 54.3 48.3
J. Dapaa J. Dapaa F 29 33.4 9.4 12.7 2.6 1.1 0.5 2.5 8.4 15.4 -136 29 -4.7 -5.9 44.1 20.0 72.2 4.36 49.0 44.3
K. Maxwell K. Maxwell G 29 29.6 8.7 2.1 2.0 0.7 0.0 2.0 7.6 4.0 -171 29 -5.9 -8.5 44.5 41.0 74.2 -1.7 54.1 52.3
L. Benzel L. Benzel G 29 28.2 7.8 2.2 0.9 0.6 0.0 1.9 9.6 0.1 -201 29 -6.9 -10.5 27.0 25.6 92.6 -4.85 39.2 36.3
S. Miller S. Miller F 27 24.4 7.0 3.3 0.6 0.3 0.3 1.4 6.9 3.3 -202 27 -7.5 -13.2 44.6 0.0 66.7 -4.79 46.9 44.6
J. McLemore J. McLemore G 29 25.9 6.7 2.1 2.0 0.5 0.1 2.9 6.2 2.3 -174 29 -6.0 -9.7 37.8 31.4 63.6 -3.95 46.4 42.2
Aaliyah Moore Aaliyah Moore F 29 18.6 2.9 5.2 0.3 0.5 0.1 1.6 2.9 4.5 -106 29 -3.7 -8.3 39.3 0.0 43.6 -1.36 41.0 39.3
Layla Laws Layla Laws F 15 7.4 1.3 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.8 0.1 -61 15 -4.1 -22.6 33.3 0.0 33.3 -3.08 33.7 33.3
Adison Novosel Adison Novosel G 7 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 -6 7 -0.9 -19.8 75.0 66.7 0 -1.71 100.0 100.0
D. Allen D. Allen G 18 15.4 0.9 1.9 2.3 0.7 0.2 2.1 2.7 1.3 -105 18 -5.8 -16.3 14.3 0.0 37.5 -3.93 16.2 14.3
Maria McConnell Maria McConnell G 22 5.9 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.8 -53 22 -2.4 -17.0 31.8 30.8 50.0 -4.13 41.5 40.9
K. Kovac K. Kovac F 12 3.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 -0.1 -25 12 -2.1 -28.4 20.0 0.0 0 -2.93 20.0 20.0
Nyla Rozier Nyla Rozier G 7 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 -0.3 -10 7 -1.4 -28.5 20.0 0.0 0.0 -2.55 17.0 20.0
H. Murphy H. Murphy G 9 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 1 9 0.1 2.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.92 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2021-2022 Shot Zones

157 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Miller24%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Benzel25%
Misses: who misses most here

S. MillerL. Benzel

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 54-157 34.4 108 S. Miller 24% (26 pts) J. Dapaa 13% (14 pts) L. Benzel 25% (26 misses) K. Maxwell 16% (16 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range left 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range center 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range right 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Left corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Right corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Above-break 3 left 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Above-break 3 center 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Above-break 3 right 0-0 - 0 - - - -