🐻⬇️🏀

Sacramento State

Also known as: Sacramento State Hornets
Program History

2025 Team Stats (8 games)

68.1
PPG
64.3
Opp
+3.1
Margin
44.1%
FG%
35.2%
3P%
64.9%
FT%
36.0
RPG
14.6
APG
14.3
TO
76.2
Pace
62.0
AdjO
75.0
AdjD
#337
Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 630 (#360) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 684 (#354) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -12.6 (#336) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.156 (#342) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → 0.156 (#342) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -18.8 More → 0.102 (#342) AdjNet -18.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -18.9 More → 0.101 (#342) AdjNet -18.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 75.0 More → 0.235 (#337) AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 75.0

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-05 vs Cal Maritime Keelhaulers W 106 - 44
2024-11-08 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 57 - 64
2024-11-12 @ UC San Diego Tritons L 54 - 64
2024-11-16 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors L 69 - 79
2024-11-24 @ California Golden Bears L 77 - 83
2024-11-27 @ Air Force Falcons W 63 - 61
2024-11-30 vs Mercyhurst Lakers L 60 - 66
2024-12-04 @ Denver Pioneers L 59 - 80
2024-12-07 vs Omaha Mavericks L 60 - 70
2024-12-14 vs UC Davis Aggies L 62 - 69
2024-12-17 @ Oregon State Beavers L 45 - 82
2024-12-22 vs Stanislaus State Warriors W 98 - 47
2024-12-30 vs Bethesda University Flames W 78 - 38
2025-01-04 vs Portland State Vikings W 56 - 53

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Holt J. Holt - 14 27.1 15.9 6.6 1.4 0.5 0.9 2.1 9.5 13.6 10 0.4 0.8 53.4 37.7 72.3 0.43 65.5 60.9
Julian Vaughns Julian Vaughns - 13 22.4 9.6 3.1 0.9 0.9 0.2 1.2 8.7 4.8 -29 -1.4 -2.2 40.7 29.5 88.2 -0.23 51.9 48.7
A. Kovatchev A. Kovatchev - 4 25.0 8.5 5.0 0.2 0.8 0.0 1.2 8.2 5.0 35 8.8 35.1 39.4 28.6 66.7 -0.54 49.5 48.5
EJ Neal EJ Neal - 14 21.7 8.3 3.8 1.5 0.9 0.3 1.0 7.7 6.1 -128 -6.1 -8.3 38.9 33.3 54.5 -0.39 51.4 50.9
E. Skytta E. Skytta - 14 28.4 7.4 3.4 3.1 1.2 0.1 2.7 5.9 6.6 -9 -0.4 -0.6 49.4 24.0 40.0 -0.68 51.7 53.0
B. Nunn B. Nunn - 14 29.1 7.4 2.5 3.6 0.9 0.0 1.9 6.9 5.5 -121 -5.3 -8.5 29.9 32.8 72.7 0.01 46.6 41.2
L. Brewer L. Brewer - 13 24.6 6.1 2.5 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.9 4.1 5.5 -104 -3.7 -5.4 52.8 51.4 45.5 -1.44 68.3 69.8
C. Dioramma C. Dioramma - 14 10.1 4.6 3.8 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.1 3.3 5.1 -45 -2.8 -8.3 60.9 0 72.7 -0.13 62.9 60.9
Deonte Williams Deonte Williams - 7 13.6 3.4 2.3 1.4 0.1 0.1 1.1 4.6 1.7 -18 -3.6 -20.1 34.4 0.0 25.0 -0.55 33.8 34.4
M. Wilson M. Wilson - 10 11.0 2.9 2.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 2.1 4.1 -99 -6.2 -11.2 38.1 38.5 72.7 -0.16 56.1 50.0
J. Pitre J. Pitre - 5 12.4 2.6 3.4 1.4 0.4 1.0 1.4 2.8 4.6 35 8.8 35.1 42.9 25.0 0 -0.54 46.4 46.4
B. Beatty B. Beatty - 14 13.6 2.1 3.1 0.7 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.8 4.1 -3 -1.5 -3.0 36.0 20.0 83.3 -0.5 49.5 40.0
D. Powell D. Powell F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 93 3.6 4.7 - - - 1.85 - -
Q. Adams Q. Adams G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Z. Hamoda Z. Hamoda G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG