Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Denver Pioneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Pioneers +21 (80-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Holt * | 31 | 9-14 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 17 | -20.7 |
| L. Brewer * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -11.7 |
| EJ Neal * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | -18.2 |
| E. Skytta * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -3.7 |
| J. Vaughns * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
| B. Nunn | 37 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -18.5 |
| D. Williams | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -10.3 |
| C. Dioramma | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.8 |
| M. Wilson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.8 |
| J. Pitre | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.9 |
| B. Beatty | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Shogbonyo * | 32 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +18.5 |
| I. Addo-Ankrah * | 29 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +22.7 |
| J. Lee * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +2.5 |
| D. Craig * | 23 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | +4.2 |
| P. Lopez-Sanvicente * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +0.4 |
| S. Akins | 29 | 8-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 19 | +21.6 |
| J. Pickett | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +14.1 |
| J. Mani | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +8.0 |
| B. Bowen | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter