Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.6% | 97.4% | +20.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +6 (83-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Vaughns * | 34 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | -4.8 |
| E. Skytta * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 3-7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +6.9 |
| L. Brewer * | 34 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +0.8 |
| J. Holt * | 33 | 9-18 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 17 | -0.8 |
| EJ Neal * | 23 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | +21.8 |
| D. Williams | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -17.9 |
| B. Nunn | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -8.6 |
| B. Beatty | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -4.2 |
| C. Dioramma | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| M. Wilson | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stojakovic * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 11-15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 16 | +1.2 |
| J. Ola-Joseph * | 33 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -4.0 |
| R. Petraitis * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +1.3 |
| M. Sissoko * | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -12.3 |
| C. Tucker * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Wilkinson | 27 | 5-10 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | +1.2 |
| L. Dort | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +8.1 |
| S. Mahoney | 13 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +11.9 |
* = starter