Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +7 (64-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Holt * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -5.5 |
| E. Skytta * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -10.4 |
| EJ Neal * | 21 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +4.9 |
| A. Kovatchev * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +2.5 |
| J. Pitre * | 9 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -3.6 |
| B. Nunn | 28 | 1-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | +2.4 |
| J. Vaughns | 24 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | -9.2 |
| B. Beatty | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -10.1 |
| L. Brewer | 9 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +8.9 |
| C. Dioramma | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.4 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Collins * | 38 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | +3.5 |
| J. Weaver * | 37 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | +4.1 |
| A. Crawford * | 32 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +2.6 |
| M. Robinson * | 30 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +0.6 |
| E. Price * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +11.2 |
| A. Augillard | 22 | 9-19 | 4-13 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 15 | -3.1 |
| P. Geneste Jr. | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3.3 |
| J. Tremble | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.8 |
* = starter