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Rutgers

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Rutgers
Program History
Coach: Steve Pikiell

2026 Team Stats (33 games)

70.0
PPG
74.7
Opp
-4.7
Margin
41.5%
FG%
32.0%
3P%
73.9%
FT%
32.9
RPG
12.0
APG
10.1
TO
77.4
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 984 (#196) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1062 (#122) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 956 (#591) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +3.8 (#112) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +18.0 (#103) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.319 (#275) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -23.5 More → 0.078 (#314) NetEff -23.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.4 More → 0.649 (#111) AdjNet +5.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.5 More → 0.653 (#111) AdjNet +5.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 72.4 More → 0.591 (#109) AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 72.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 72.4 More → 0.502 (#237) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 72.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.772 (#164) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.724 (#170) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 116 | GP 33 More → 1050 (#191) RD 116 | GP 33

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-05 vs Rider Broncs W 81 - 53
2025-11-10 vs Maine Black Bears W 72 - 60
2025-11-14 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 84 - 72
2025-11-18 vs American University Eagles W 80 - 71
2025-11-21 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils L 54 - 67
2025-11-24 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 60 - 85
2025-11-25 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 63 - 68
2025-11-27 vs UNLV Rebels W 80 - 65
2025-12-02 vs Purdue Boilermakers L 65 - 81
2025-12-06 @ Michigan Wolverines L 60 - 101
2025-12-13 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 59 - 81
2025-12-20 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 70 - 69
2025-12-29 vs Delaware State Hornets W 65 - 50
2026-01-02 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 73 - 80
2026-01-05 vs Oregon Ducks W 88 - 85
2026-01-08 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 55 - 81
2026-01-11 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 77 - 75
2026-01-20 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 62 - 68
2026-01-23 vs Indiana Hoosiers L 59 - 82
2026-01-27 vs Michigan State Spartans L 79 - 88
2026-01-31 @ USC Trojans L 75 - 78
2026-02-03 @ UCLA Bruins L 66 - 98
2026-02-07 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers L 68 - 80
2026-02-15 vs Maryland Terrapins W 68 - 57
2026-02-18 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 85 - 72
2026-02-21 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 61 - 80
2026-02-24 vs Washington Huskies L 72 - 79
2026-03-01 @ Maryland Terrapins W 69 - 65
2026-03-05 @ Michigan State Spartans L 87 - 91
2026-03-08 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 74 - 62
2026-03-11 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 72 - 67
2026-03-12 @ UCLA Bruins L 59 - 72
2026-04-02 @ Creighton Bluejays L 69 - 82

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Francis T. Francis - 33 27.9 17.1 2.3 2.9 1.0 0.0 1.2 12.6 9.5 -30 -1.9 -6.1 42.1 35.9 91.0 0.29 56.9 48.2
D. Grant D. Grant - 33 24.4 9.7 4.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 1.2 7.5 7.0 -18 -0.8 -1.4 44.4 30.4 72.7 0.31 54.1 48.6
D. Buchanan Jr. D. Buchanan Jr. G 33 24.0 8.2 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.2 1.3 6.6 6.4 -43 -3.1 -11.8 45.9 31.2 61.5 1.14 51.7 48.2
J. Davis J. Davis - 33 26.2 7.4 2.9 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.8 6.2 6.9 16 0.7 1.7 39.3 36.4 77.1 0.36 51.5 46.1
Kaden Powers Kaden Powers - 28 15.5 6.0 1.7 1.4 0.5 0.1 1.0 6.6 2.2 -45 -2.6 -7.7 35.1 33.3 70.6 -0.04 43.9 42.4
Harun Zrno Harun Zrno - 33 18.8 6.0 1.7 0.6 0.5 0.0 1.0 5.6 2.2 -98 -4.5 -10.7 34.8 32.4 75.0 -0.83 50.2 47.6
Lino Mark Lino Mark - 32 16.0 5.9 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.1 0.9 5.2 3.8 1 0.1 1.2 39.3 23.3 76.2 0.09 48.5 42.3
E. Ogbole E. Ogbole - 33 18.9 4.7 5.9 0.4 0.3 1.2 1.1 3.3 8.1 -63 -2.9 -8.5 59.1 0 54.3 0.08 59.5 59.1
Denis Badalau Denis Badalau - 24 12.5 3.1 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.5 3.5 2.1 -24 -1.3 -4.2 30.1 21.3 66.7 0.07 40.1 36.1
Christopher Nwuli Christopher Nwuli - 29 10.1 2.1 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.7 2.2 -22 -1.0 -4.4 35.4 30.0 68.6 -0.24 48.1 38.5
B. Dortch B. Dortch - 30 14.4 2.0 3.2 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 1.3 4.8 5 0.2 0.6 60.5 0 50.0 0.52 59.7 60.5
B. Fall B. Fall - 9 5.1 0.6 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.7 1.9 -16 -1.8 -14.5 33.3 0 50.0 -0.14 36.3 33.3
Gevonte Ware Gevonte Ware - 6 5.8 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 -21 -3.5 -23.1 25.0 0 0.0 -0.2 20.5 25.0
Dorian Jones Dorian Jones G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 103 4.7 17.3 - - - 1.0 - -
M. Fradkin M. Fradkin G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG