Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.9% | 5.1% | -16.1 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -9 (79-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Cooper | 37 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | +2.9 |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 36 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 16-17 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 27 | +10.0 |
| Coen Carr | 35 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | +5.7 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 29 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | +12.3 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 29 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 17 | +2.2 |
| Jordan Scott | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +5.6 |
| Kur Teng | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | -2.9 |
| Cameron Ward | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -3.5 |
| Denham Wojcik | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Trey Fort | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamichael Davis | 40 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | -4.5 |
| Darren Buchanan Jr. | 36 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Tariq Francis | 34 | 6-17 | 3-8 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 13 | -6.4 |
| Dylan Grant | 34 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | -3.6 |
| Harun Zrno | 32 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | -8.6 |
| Bryce Dortch | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kaden Powers | 10 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +6.8 |
| Emmanuel Ogbole | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Lino Mark | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Christopher Nwuli | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.3 |
* = starter