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2025-11-05

Model Predictions

Model Rider Broncs Rutgers Scarlet Knights Spread Result
Elo 6.6% 93.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 9.7% 90.3% - ✓
Margin 1.3% 98.7% +23.8 ✓ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 18.6% 81.4% - ✓
Efficiency 7.3% 92.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 11.6% 88.4% - ✓

Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights +28 (81-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rider Broncs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caleb Smith * 32 2-9 0-2 8-10 10 1 0 0 1 12 13 -15.7
Zion Cruz * 30 5-19 0-6 1-2 6 1 1 0 0 11 0 -13.0
Flash Burton * 27 1-9 0-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 4 2 -6 -16.0
Cole McCabe * 23 2-8 1-5 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 5 0 -2.9
Mohamad Diallo * 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 0 0 4 8 -6.0
K. Kepežinskas 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -2.4
Shemani Fuller 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 2 -9.3
Davis Bynum 14 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 4 1 -1.7
Daniel Helterhoff 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -5.5
Jamir McNeil 10 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 5 4 +2.1
Antwan Wilson 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -1.6
AB Coulibaly 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tariq Francis * 30 6-10 4-8 4-5 4 2 0 0 0 20 16 +12.0
Jamichael Davis * 29 5-9 2-4 3-4 6 3 2 1 0 15 18 +13.6
Denis Badalau * 20 1-12 1-6 2-2 7 1 1 0 2 5 0 +12.4
Dylan Grant * 20 6-9 0-1 5-7 7 0 1 1 2 17 15 +11.7
Emmanuel Ogbole * 19 0-5 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 2 1 0 6 +9.9
Darren Buchanan Jr. 17 4-7 1-1 2-7 3 2 1 0 0 11 10 +8.3
Bryce Dortch 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
Christopher Nwuli 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 1 -2.0
Lino Mark 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Harun Zrno 11 2-5 2-4 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 3 +2.0
Kaden Powers 7 0-3 0-1 4-4 2 1 2 0 0 4 6 +1.4
Gevonte Ware 7 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -0.1
Baye Fall 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.5

* = starter