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2026-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Rutgers Scarlet Knights Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 8.2% 91.8% -
Bradley-Terry 13.5% 86.5% -
Margin 2.2% 97.8% +20.7 (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 24.6% 75.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 12.7% 87.3% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +4 (91-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Buchanan Jr. 35 3-8 1-3 2-3 5 3 1 0 0 9 10 -
T. Francis 31 8-17 4-5 5-5 0 5 3 0 0 25 16 -
L. Mark 26 6-11 1-1 1-2 0 4 0 0 2 14 5 -
D. Grant 24 1-8 0-2 1-2 6 0 1 1 2 3 1 -
E. Ogbole 20 6-7 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 0 2 13 11 -
J. Davis 18 0-3 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
C. Nwuli 17 1-1 1-1 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
K. Powers 15 4-7 3-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 11 8 -
H. Zrno 14 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 4 3 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Carr 32 6-9 1-2 8-8 6 0 0 0 0 21 18 -
J. Scott 29 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 2 4 5 3 -
J. Kohler 29 6-11 1-4 2-2 7 2 1 0 2 15 12 -
C. Cooper 29 4-6 0-0 6-8 6 0 0 2 2 14 14 -
J. Fears Jr. 28 7-10 1-2 6-9 1 8 2 0 3 21 19 -
C. Ward 20 4-6 0-0 1-1 9 1 1 3 0 9 17 -
K. Teng 17 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 4 2 -
D. Wojcik 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
T. Fort 3 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
N. Sanders 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter