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Rider Broncs

Also known as: Rider Broncs
Program History

2019 Team Stats (2 games)

83.5
PPG
74.0
Opp
+9.5
Margin
48.0%
FG%
35.3%
3P%
61.4%
FT%
38.0
RPG
16.5
APG
11.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.0
Adj PPG
76.7
Adj Opp PPG
#207
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 957 (#206) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 989 (#184) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -3.3 (#212) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -4.0 (#228) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.558 (#140) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.9 More โ†’ 0.364 (#216) AdjNet -4.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.9 More โ†’ 0.361 (#216) AdjNet -4.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 76.7 More โ†’ 0.440 (#207) AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 76.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 75.4 More โ†’ 0.485 (#190) AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 75.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.418 (#215) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.427 (#214) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 147 | GP 31 More โ†’ 923 (#230) RD 147 | GP 31

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 @ UCF Knights L 70 - 84
2018-11-19 vs Coppin State Eagles W 87 - 67
2018-11-24 @ Wagner Seahawks W 89 - 65
2018-11-28 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 78 - 92
2018-12-08 @ Hofstra Pride L 73 - 89
2018-12-12 vs Norfolk State Spartans W 81 - 71
2018-12-15 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 69 - 50
2018-12-17 @ Washington State Cougars L 80 - 94
2018-12-19 @ Drake Bulldogs L 58 - 76
2018-12-22 @ Northern Colorado Bears W 74 - 67
2018-12-23 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors L 80 - 81
2018-12-30 @ VCU Rams L 79 - 90
2019-01-03 @ Fairfield Stags W 83 - 82
2019-01-05 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 72 - 67
2019-01-11 @ Canisius Golden Griffins W 82 - 73
2019-01-13 @ Niagara Purple Eagles W 104 - 84
2019-01-19 vs Manhattan Jaspers W 60 - 47
2019-01-25 @ Iona Gaels L 71 - 77
2019-01-27 vs Marist Red Foxes W 86 - 85
2019-01-31 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks W 59 - 51
2019-02-02 @ Monmouth Hawks L 71 - 75
2019-02-05 @ Manhattan Jaspers L 66 - 73
2019-02-08 vs Canisius Golden Griffins L 80 - 81
2019-02-10 vs Siena Saints L 57 - 59
2019-02-12 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats L 88 - 98
2019-02-15 vs Monmouth Hawks W 81 - 72
2019-02-17 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks W 71 - 65
2019-02-22 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 97 - 81
2019-03-01 vs Iona Gaels L 79 - 86
2019-03-03 @ Marist Red Foxes W 75 - 64
2019-03-09 vs Siena Saints L 81 - 87

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
N. McGlynn N. McGlynn F 1 32.0 17.0 11.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 29.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
N. Thomas N. Thomas G 1 31.0 16.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 21.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Jamerson Jr. D. Jamerson Jr. G 1 30.0 14.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 16.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
N. Norton N. Norton G 1 33.0 13.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 21.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Long A. Long F 1 24.0 13.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 18.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Stevie Jordan Stevie Jordan G 30 32.6 12.6 3.5 4.4 1.9 0.4 2.9 0.6 19.3 90 25 3.6 4.6 57.9 75.0 71.4 2.22 856.0 65.8
Frederick Scott Frederick Scott F 30 25.2 12.1 5.7 1.4 0.8 0.3 1.6 0.6 18.1 73 24 3.0 5.0 47.4 25.0 100.0 0.93 876.7 50.0
Tyere Marshall Tyere Marshall C 30 23.0 10.8 6.6 1.3 0.7 0.6 1.4 0.6 18.0 52 24 2.2 3.9 35.3 0 0.0 -0.57 931.8 35.3
Dimencio Vaughn Dimencio Vaughn F 27 25.5 10.6 5.2 1.4 1.8 0.6 1.9 0.7 17.1 29 22 1.3 2.2 55.6 33.3 64.7 -0.85 559.3 58.3
Jordan Allen Jordan Allen G 31 23.8 10.1 2.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 1.0 0.5 12.5 -41 25 -1.6 -2.9 43.8 38.5 66.7 -1.02 900.7 59.4
Anthony Durham Anthony Durham G 31 29.0 9.4 3.7 2.0 0.9 0.1 1.2 0.4 14.5 65 25 2.6 3.7 46.2 40.0 57.1 -0.48 908.0 53.8
A. Branch A. Branch F 1 23.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Butler J. Butler F 1 23.0 8.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 20.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Murphy A. Murphy G 1 14.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 11.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Ellingson B. Ellingson G 1 24.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kole Williams Kole Williams G 30 20.4 4.1 2.2 2.6 1.5 0.1 1.6 0.2 8.8 -1 24 0.0 -0.1 57.1 0 66.7 -0.58 745.2 57.1
K. Chavis K. Chavis F 1 12.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Devine Eke Devine Eke F 31 11.6 3.8 2.6 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.2 7.3 18 25 0.7 2.6 50.0 0.0 16.7 -1.53 677.1 50.0
Ahmad Gilbert Ahmad Gilbert G 26 8.5 3.3 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.7 0.2 4.9 -21 22 -1.0 -4.7 33.3 0.0 0 -2.12 716.7 33.3
S. Whitley S. Whitley G 1 28.0 3.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 11.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Pilipovic A. Pilipovic F 1 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Pitt M. Pitt G 1 16.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Murphy T. Murphy F 1 17.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 9.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ajiri Ogemuno-Johnson Ajiri Ogemuno-Johnson - 25 7.8 2.8 1.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.0 4.2 -66 19 -3.5 -16.0 0 0 50.0 -5.1 3920.5 0
Karamoko Cisse Karamoko Cisse F 16 4.4 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 2.1 23 14 1.6 17.6 66.7 0 71.4 2.18 189.1 66.7
Noah Buono Noah Buono G 2 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -3.18 0 0
N. Thomas N. Thomas G 1 11.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ryan O'Leary Ryan O'Leary G 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -3.79 0.0 0.0
Liam Robbins Liam Robbins - 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 -2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Fitzgerald B. Fitzgerald G 1 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG