Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.2% | 96.8% | +18.7 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +14 (84-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevie Jordan * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Allen * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Durham * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Tyere Marshall * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Dimencio Vaughn * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Kimar Williams | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Frederick Scott | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Ahmad Gilbert | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Devine Eke | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ajiri Ogemuno-Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Karamoko Cisse | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Taylor * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Aubrey Dawkins * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 27 | - |
| Terrell Allen * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Collin Smith * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 30 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Dayon Griffin | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Ceasar DeJesus | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Chad Brown | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Chance McSpadden | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Frank Bertz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter