Model Predictions
| Model | Norfolk State Spartans | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.0% | 73.0% | +5.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rider Broncs +10 (81-71). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Thomas * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Derrik Jamerson Jr. * | 30 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Steven Whitley * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Alex Long * | 24 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Butler * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Armani Branch | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Mastadi Pitt | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kyonze Chavis | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Chris Ford | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Joe Bryant Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| BJ Fitzgerald | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dimencio Vaughn * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kimar Williams * | 31 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Stevie Jordan * | 29 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Durham * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Ajiri Ogemuno-Johnson * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Allen | 28 | 7-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Ahmad Gilbert | 14 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devine Eke | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Karamoko Cisse | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter