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Rhode Island

Also known as: Rhode Island Rams, Rhode Island
Program History

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 941 (#198) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 844 (#278) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 934 (#258) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -3.7 (#221) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -0.2 (#173) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.258 (#278) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.4 More โ†’ 0.376 (#214) AdjNet -4.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.4 More โ†’ 0.377 (#211) AdjNet -4.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 72.3 More โ†’ 0.414 (#232) AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 72.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 69.6 More โ†’ 0.447 (#227) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 69.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.405 (#221) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.412 (#217) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 157 | GP 29 More โ†’ 924 (#221) RD 157 | GP 29

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ George Mason Patriots L 90 - 92
2011-11-15 @ Texas Longhorns L 90 - 100
2011-11-20 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 63 - 83
2011-11-25 vs Hofstra Pride W 85 - 73
2011-11-26 vs Boston University Terriers L 64 - 70
2011-11-27 vs Cleveland State Vikings L 45 - 67
2011-11-30 @ Brown Bears L 56 - 65
2011-12-04 vs Maine Black Bears L 74 - 76
2011-12-07 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 67 - 78
2011-12-10 @ Georgia State Panthers L 64 - 96
2011-12-18 vs Yale Bulldogs L 65 - 68
2011-12-23 vs Providence Friars L 61 - 80
2011-12-29 vs James Madison Dukes W 79 - 60
2011-12-30 @ UCF Knights L 54 - 65
2012-01-02 @ Boston College Eagles W 78 - 72
2012-01-07 vs Richmond Spiders L 53 - 70
2012-01-11 @ George Washington Colonials L 61 - 69
2012-01-14 vs Duquesne Dukes L 71 - 78
2012-01-18 @ Fordham Rams L 64 - 66
2012-01-25 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 66 - 72
2012-01-28 @ Dayton Flyers W 86 - 81
2012-02-01 vs UMass Minutemen W 81 - 78
2012-02-04 vs Temple Owls L 56 - 73
2012-02-08 @ Xavier Musketeers L 66 - 84
2012-02-15 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks L 69 - 80
2012-02-18 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 61 - 81
2012-02-25 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 64 - 62
2012-02-29 vs Fordham Rams W 78 - 58
2012-03-03 @ UMass Minutemen L 83 - 89

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jamal Wilson Jamal Wilson G 11 34.3 16.4 5.1 2.1 1.2 0.2 3.1 1.5 20.3 -75 8 -9.4 -13.1 23.5 30.0 88.9 -4.19 429.4 32.4
Billy Baron Billy Baron G 18 32.6 13.1 4.4 2.7 1.1 0.0 2.1 4.8 14.3 24 16 1.5 2.2 47.1 37.0 87.1 4.26 116.8 56.9
Orion Outerbridge Orion Outerbridge F 29 30.2 12.9 6.8 0.4 0.7 1.9 1.4 3.6 17.8 -28 24 -1.2 -1.8 36.9 21.4 69.4 0.96 156.9 38.3
Nikola Malesevic Nikola Malesevic F 21 26.1 11.0 3.0 1.3 0.8 0.6 1.7 2.5 12.6 -27 16 -1.7 -3.1 38.5 32.0 60.7 2.19 179.6 46.2
Jonathan Holton Jonathan Holton F 29 28.7 10.1 8.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 2.3 3.4 15.3 -18 24 -0.8 -1.2 48.0 30.8 58.6 1.63 131.8 52.0
Mike Powell Mike Powell G 29 30.2 8.8 3.2 3.6 0.8 0.0 3.1 2.9 10.4 -72 24 -3.0 -4.5 31.0 19.4 74.3 -3.31 128.8 34.5
Andre Malone Andre Malone G 9 23.6 8.7 2.4 0.8 1.1 0.0 1.3 7.0 4.7 7 9 0.8 1.5 41.3 35.3 0.0 0.28 60.2 50.8
T.J. Buchanan T.J. Buchanan G 28 20.4 3.9 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.1 1.0 1.5 6.1 -44 23 -1.9 -4.2 31.7 20.0 64.3 -2.23 116.6 34.1
Dominique McKoy Dominique McKoy F 28 13.7 3.1 2.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.9 0.7 4.6 -53 22 -2.4 -8.3 21.1 0.0 55.6 -1.15 187.3 21.1
Anthony Malhoit Anthony Malhoit G 21 9.8 2.7 2.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 4.7 -2 18 -0.1 -0.6 36.8 25.0 50.0 -0.85 126.6 39.5
Levan Shengelia Levan Shengelia F 29 9.2 2.1 1.8 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 3.4 -33 24 -1.4 -7.0 43.8 0 33.3 -0.94 143.3 43.8
Rayvon Harris Rayvon Harris F 13 5.8 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.0 2.3 -7 9 -0.8 -5.4 0 0 25.0 0.99 596.6 0
Ryan Brooks Ryan Brooks F 7 11.7 0.9 2.6 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.7 3.7 - - - - 20.0 0 0 -1.89 60.0 20.0
Blake Vedder Blake Vedder C 10 4.7 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.9 -8 10 -0.8 -9.7 0 0 0 -0.86 0 0
A.J. Kemp A.J. Kemp - 4 1.2 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG