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2011-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Rhode Island Rams UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 14.8% 85.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.7% 88.3% - โœ“
Margin 12.7% 87.3% +10.6 โœ“ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 28.5% 71.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.6% 88.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.7% 88.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.3% 71.7% - โœ“

Actual: UCF Knights +11 (65-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rhode Island Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Powell * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 3 0 4 21 27 -
Orion Outerbridge * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 2 3 8 18 -
T.J. Buchanan * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 7 13 -
Andre Malone * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 5 -
Jonathan Holton * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 3 2 9 16 -
Billy Baron 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 2 5 10 -
Dominique McKoy 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Levan Shengelia 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Jordan * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 12 19 -
A.J. Rompza * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 3 0 2 7 17 -
Keith Clanton * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 1 1 13 24 -
Isaiah Sykes * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 3 14 18 -
Josh Crittle * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
Tristan Spurlock 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 9 15 -
P.J. Gaynor 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Jeff Jordan 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 1 -
Dwight McCombs 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Rod Days 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kasey Wilson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Wayne Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter