Model Predictions
| Model | Rhode Island Rams | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.7 | ✗ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -5 (81-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rhode Island Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Baron * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 33 | - |
| Mike Powell * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Jonathan Holton * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 33 | - |
| Orion Outerbridge * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Nikola Malesevic * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T.J. Buchanan | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Dominique McKoy | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Levan Shengelia | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Blake Vedder | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Malhoit | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Johnson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 31 | - |
| Kevin Dillard * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Paul Williams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Luke Fabrizius * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Josh Parker | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ralph Hill | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Devin Oliver | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter