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Purdue

Also known as: Purdue Boilermakers, Purdue
Program History

2014 Team Stats (9 games)

71.3
PPG
79.4
Opp
-8.1
Margin
43.0%
FG%
29.7%
3P%
66.1%
FT%
37.6
RPG
13.3
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
75.1
Adj PPG
68.2
Adj Opp PPG
#74
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1009 (#168) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1070 (#117) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 923 (#278) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +7.8 (#68) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +7.2 (#76) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.524 (#157) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.3 More โ†’ 0.786 (#75) AdjNet +11.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.5 More โ†’ 0.791 (#74) AdjNet +11.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 68.2 More โ†’ 0.653 (#74) AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 68.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 69.6 More โ†’ 0.548 (#117) AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 69.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.623 (#108) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.602 (#112) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 132 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1062 (#126) RD 132 | GP 32

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 vs Northern Kentucky Norse W 77 - 76
2013-11-13 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 109 - 73
2013-11-17 vs Rider Broncs W 81 - 77
2013-11-20 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 83 - 55
2013-11-24 vs Siena Saints W 81 - 73
2013-11-28 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 87 - 97
2013-11-29 @ Washington State Cougars L 54 - 69
2013-12-01 @ Siena Saints W 68 - 63
2013-12-04 vs Boston College Eagles W 88 - 67
2013-12-07 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 69 - 64
2013-12-14 @ Butler Bulldogs L 70 - 76
2013-12-17 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 79 - 50
2013-12-22 @ West Virginia Mountaineers W 73 - 70
2013-12-31 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 69 - 78
2014-01-05 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 79 - 82
2014-01-12 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 70 - 64
2014-01-15 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 66 - 58
2014-01-18 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 65 - 64
2014-01-21 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 60 - 63
2014-01-25 vs Wisconsin Badgers L 58 - 72
2014-01-30 @ Michigan Wolverines L 66 - 75
2014-02-02 @ Penn State Nittany Lions L 68 - 79
2014-02-05 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 77 - 74
2014-02-08 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 49 - 67
2014-02-15 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 82 - 64
2014-02-20 vs Michigan State Spartans L 79 - 94
2014-02-23 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 57 - 76
2014-02-26 vs Michigan Wolverines L 76 - 77
2014-03-02 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 76 - 83
2014-03-05 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 70 - 76
2014-03-09 vs Northwestern Wildcats L 65 - 74
2014-03-13 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 61 - 63

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Terone Johnson Terone Johnson G 28 30.5 11.5 3.6 2.4 0.7 0.1 1.3 5.8 11.2 -30 25 -1.2 -1.8 39.3 40.0 61.7 -1.46 87.7 45.4
A.J. Hammons A.J. Hammons C 28 25.8 11.0 7.7 0.5 0.4 3.0 2.6 3.8 16.3 40 24 1.7 2.9 52.4 0.0 71.4 3.52 116.0 52.4
Ronnie Johnson Ronnie Johnson G 28 28.4 10.6 2.8 3.8 0.5 0.0 2.2 5.2 10.3 65 25 2.6 4.0 44.8 29.0 59.7 4.04 86.2 47.9
Kendall Stephens Kendall Stephens G 28 20.9 8.4 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.7 4.2 6.9 64 25 2.6 5.3 32.5 34.1 84.2 3.74 93.7 44.9
Bryson Scott Bryson Scott G 28 15.4 5.9 2.5 1.2 0.9 0.1 1.5 3.0 6.2 -90 25 -3.6 -9.9 30.6 25.0 80.6 -4.2 81.8 31.8
Rapheal Davis Rapheal Davis G 28 18.9 5.8 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.8 2.3 8.2 -10 25 -0.4 -0.9 43.1 22.2 82.1 -0.23 98.0 46.2
Basil Smotherman Basil Smotherman F 28 19.2 5.0 3.9 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 2.1 7.7 11 25 0.4 1.0 55.2 0.0 66.7 -0.99 106.9 55.2
Errick Peck Errick Peck F 28 17.9 4.2 4.2 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.0 2.3 6.4 -63 25 -2.5 -6.0 47.7 33.3 55.6 -3.86 84.8 51.5
Sterling Carter Sterling Carter G 23 15.2 4.2 1.8 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.7 2.0 5.7 20 21 1.0 2.7 28.3 20.0 85.7 1.73 97.8 34.8
Jay Simpson Jay Simpson F 22 11.5 4.1 3.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 1.0 2.0 5.9 -1 20 -0.1 -0.2 48.8 0.0 45.0 0.37 87.8 48.8
Stephen Toyra Stephen Toyra G 6 4.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 5 7 0.7 9.2 66.7 0.0 0 -0.89 166.7 66.7
Travis Carroll Travis Carroll F 22 7.0 1.3 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 2.4 -33 20 -1.6 -10.2 35.7 0 0.0 -3.01 97.4 35.7
Anfernee Brown Anfernee Brown G 3 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Neal Beshears Neal Beshears F 4 1.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jon McKeeman Jon McKeeman G 3 2.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG