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2014-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 46.2% 53.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 45.1% 54.9% - โœ“
Margin 52.6% 47.4% -0.6 โœ— (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 66.6% 33.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 67.0% 33.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 50.7% 49.3% - โœ—

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +3 (63-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Hammons * 44 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 2 4 7 17 26 -
Terone Johnson * 43 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 16 23 -
Basil Smotherman * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 1 9 -
Ronnie Johnson * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 12 16 -
Rapheal Davis * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 7 -
Kendall Stephens 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 7 8 -
Bryson Scott 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 6 -
Errick Peck 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Sterling Carter 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
Jay Simpson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Drew Crawford * 50 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 2 2 19 26 -
Sanjay Lumpkin * 43 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 2 2 6 16 -
JerShon Cobb * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 1 1 15 25 -
Alex Olah * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 3 2 4 15 -
Kale Abrahamson * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Tre Demps 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 2 19 25 -
Nikola Cerina 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 0 6 -

* = starter