Purdue Boilermakers
2012 Team Stats (27 games)
64.9
PPG
58.7
Opp
+6.2
Margin
40.0%
FG%
29.1%
3P%
72.4%
FT%
33.9
RPG
14.7
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.8
Adj PPG
50.8
Adj Opp PPG
#42
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1395 (#19) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1270 (#30) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1099 (#55) | HCA +78 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +16.5 (#42) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +15.8 (#39) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.764 (#68) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.952 (#41) | AdjNet +25.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.955 (#41) | AdjNet +26.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.797 (#42) | AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 50.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.694 (#44) | AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 58.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.856 (#33) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.842 (#35) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1270 (#27) | RD 111 | GP 33 |
2012 Schedule & Results
2012 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B. Rayburn
|
NA | 26 | 0.0 | 14.7 | 4.1 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 11.3 | 9.4 | 165 | 28 | 5.9 | 8.5 | 42.0 | 34.1 | 76.0 | 4.81 | 55.0 | 49.1 |
C. Moses
|
G | 26 | 0.0 | 9.8 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 9.2 | 4.8 | 175 | 27 | 6.5 | 10.1 | 37.1 | 24.0 | 87.9 | 5.71 | 47.8 | 42.3 |
K. Houser
|
G | 25 | 0.0 | 9.3 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 3.8 | 8.7 | 5.5 | 167 | 28 | 6.0 | 9.4 | 33.9 | 36.0 | 77.6 | 0.16 | 46.9 | 41.3 |
S. Ostarello
|
NA | 27 | 0.0 | 8.4 | 8.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 7.3 | 10.9 | 166 | 28 | 5.9 | 9.9 | 48.5 | 0.0 | 63.0 | 4.17 | 51.0 | 48.5 |
A. Guyton
|
NA | 3 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 47 | 28 | 1.7 | 4.7 | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.82 | 40.9 | 40.0 |
C. Poston
|
NA | 1 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 59 | 28 | 2.1 | 5.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.69 | 42.0 | 33.3 |
C. Jones
|
NA | 24 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 6.2 | 90 | 28 | 3.2 | 6.4 | 50.7 | 0 | 73.7 | -0.82 | 54.3 | 50.7 |
D. Williams
|
G | 3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | -44 | 28 | -1.6 | -5.3 | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | -4.51 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG