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2012-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 77.1% 22.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% - โœ“
Margin 40.1% 59.9% +2.2 โœ— (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 52.6% 47.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 52.7% 47.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.3% 54.7% - โœ—

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -11 (49-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Moses 0 3-8 1-5 4-4 0 2 0 0 1 11 4 -
K. Houser 0 2-6 1-4 0-0 6 3 2 0 3 5 7 -
C. Jones 0 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
S. Ostarello 0 4-4 0-0 0-1 7 0 1 1 3 8 10 -
B. Rayburn 0 6-10 1-3 2-4 3 3 3 0 0 15 14 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Sheffer 0 5-9 2-3 3-3 8 1 0 0 6 15 9 -
J. Ryan 0 4-5 0-1 0-0 10 3 4 0 2 8 18 -
S. King 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Reynolds 0 4-10 1-4 2-2 6 1 1 0 0 11 9 -
C. Boylan 0 3-10 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 6 4 -

* = starter