Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | +2.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +15 (67-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williams | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Houser | 0 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -2 | - |
| S. Ostarello | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Guyton | 0 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Rayburn | 0 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 9-10 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 13 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Alton | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| P. Poole | 0 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| K. Johnson | 0 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | - |
| K. Bell | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| L. Johnson | 0 | 4-16 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
* = starter