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Purdue Boilermakers

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Purdue Boilermakers
Program History
Coach: Matt Painter

2015 Team Stats (8 games)

63.1
PPG
64.4
Opp
-1.2
Margin
43.0%
FG%
26.7%
3P%
68.3%
FT%
34.8
RPG
13.0
APG
11.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.8
Adj PPG
59.5
Adj Opp PPG
#31
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1249 (#36) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1172 (#55) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 1056 (#95) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +12.2 (#30) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +10.5 (#37) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.712 (#62) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.3 More → 0.903 (#33) AdjNet +19.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.7 More → 0.908 (#31) AdjNet +19.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 59.5 More → 0.736 (#31) AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 59.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 61.7 More → 0.626 (#53) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 61.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.783 (#38) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.765 (#39) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 111 | GP 34 More → 1208 (#44) RD 111 | GP 34

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs Samford Bulldogs W 80 - 40
2014-11-16 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 77 - 57
2014-11-20 vs Grambling Tigers W 82 - 30
2014-11-24 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 79 - 88
2014-11-25 @ Missouri Tigers W 82 - 61
2014-11-26 @ BYU Cougars W 87 - 85
2014-12-02 vs NC State Wolfpack W 66 - 61
2014-12-06 vs North Florida Ospreys L 70 - 73
2014-12-08 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 63 - 43
2014-12-10 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 87 - 46
2014-12-13 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 71 - 81
2014-12-20 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 63 - 94
2014-12-22 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 84 - 89
2014-12-31 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 72 - 68
2015-01-03 vs Michigan Wolverines W 64 - 51
2015-01-07 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 55 - 62
2015-01-10 vs Maryland Terrapins L 60 - 69
2015-01-17 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 84 - 77
2015-01-21 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 57 - 66
2015-01-24 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 67 - 63
2015-01-28 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 83 - 67
2015-01-31 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 68 - 60
2015-02-04 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 60 - 58
2015-02-07 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 58 - 62
2015-02-12 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 61 - 51
2015-02-15 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 66 - 54
2015-02-19 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 67 - 63
2015-02-26 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 92 - 85
2015-03-01 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 61 - 65
2015-03-04 @ Michigan State Spartans L 66 - 72
2015-03-07 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 63 - 58
2015-03-13 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 64 - 59
2015-03-14 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 51 - 71
2015-03-19 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 65 - 66

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A.J. Hammons A.J. Hammons C 33 24.4 11.9 6.6 0.9 0.5 2.8 2.1 2.8 17.8 97 27 3.6 6.6 60.6 0.0 70.8 4.78 170.7 60.6
Rapheal Davis Rapheal Davis G 33 31.3 10.7 4.1 2.6 0.8 0.2 1.9 3.5 13.0 97 27 3.6 5.3 45.2 41.9 77.0 3.09 124.1 50.9
Jon Octeus Jon Octeus G 33 28.6 9.2 5.0 2.6 1.0 0.2 1.5 2.3 14.3 93 27 3.4 5.5 42.7 13.3 73.3 0.44 160.3 44.0
Kendall Stephens Kendall Stephens G 33 22.4 9.0 2.2 1.7 0.4 0.3 1.2 2.3 10.1 90 27 3.3 6.4 26.3 25.5 62.5 2.42 186.1 34.2
Vince Edwards Vince Edwards F 32 27.1 8.8 4.8 2.7 0.4 0.4 1.5 2.4 13.2 112 27 4.1 6.7 43.4 27.8 85.7 -0.74 171.6 50.0
Isaac Haas Isaac Haas C 33 14.7 7.5 4.1 0.2 0.1 0.8 1.5 1.8 9.4 55 27 2.0 5.9 50.0 0 55.6 2.78 166.6 50.0
Dakota Mathias Dakota Mathias - 33 19.9 5.0 2.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.8 1.8 6.5 28 27 1.0 2.3 33.3 30.4 64.3 0.13 123.9 45.0
Bryson Scott Bryson Scott G 24 10.6 3.4 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.1 1.1 0.7 5.1 33 22 1.5 6.0 35.3 0.0 62.5 1.75 168.5 35.3
Basil Smotherman Basil Smotherman F 33 12.8 2.6 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.9 4.6 -45 26 -1.7 -6.0 56.7 25.0 50.0 -5.17 131.7 60.0
Jacquil Taylor Jacquil Taylor F 6 7.0 2.2 2.0 0.3 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.5 3.8 12 6 2.0 11.6 66.7 100.0 0 -1.52 216.7 83.3
P.J. Thompson P.J. Thompson G 29 13.3 2.2 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.0 0.7 1.1 3.2 -3 24 -0.1 -0.4 32.3 38.1 80.0 -2.15 97.9 45.2
Anfernee Brown Anfernee Brown G 3 3.7 1.7 1.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 2.7 - - - - 50.0 50.0 0 -0.66 125.0 75.0
Stephen Toyra Stephen Toyra G 5 3.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.38 0 0
Neal Beshears Neal Beshears F 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jon McKeeman Jon McKeeman G 5 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 -0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.22 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG