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Purdue Boilermakers 57
@
Illinois Fighting Illini 66
2015-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 61.3% 38.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% - ✗
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 ✓ (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 56.9% 43.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 57.4% 42.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 46.3% 53.7% - ✓

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +9 (66-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rapheal Davis * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 14 22 -
Jon Octeus * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 1 14 23 -
Vince Edwards * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 6 0 0 3 11 19 -
Kendall Stephens * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Isaac Haas * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
A.J. Hammons 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 4 1 8 18 -
Dakota Mathias 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 6 9 -
P.J. Thompson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Basil Smotherman 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Bryson Scott 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hill * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 0 1 18 27 -
K. Nunn * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 2 14 22 -
L. Black * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 2 0 2 15 28 -
J. Tate * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 1 0 3 6 12 -
N. Egwu * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 3 5 0 11 26 -
A. Starks 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
M. Morgan 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
M. La Tulip 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Colbert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter