Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +5 (63-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Nunn * | 38 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 37 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| R. Rice * | 36 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 12 | - |
| M. Hill * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| A. Starks * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Tate | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Black | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| A. Colbert | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Morgan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapheal Davis * | 38 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 8-9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| A.J. Hammons * | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Dakota Mathias * | 32 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jon Octeus * | 29 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Vince Edwards * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Thompson | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Kendall Stephens | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Basil Smotherman | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Isaac Haas | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bryson Scott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter