Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +1 (66-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapheal Davis * | 40 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jon Octeus * | 39 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Vince Edwards * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| A.J. Hammons * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Dakota Mathias * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Kendall Stephens | 20 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Isaac Haas | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Basil Smotherman | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| P.J. Thompson | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Caupain * | 38 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Gary Clark * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Farad Cobb * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Shaq Thomas * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Octavius Ellis * | 18 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Coreontae DeBerry | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Johnson | 22 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jermaine Sanders | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
* = starter