Princeton Tigers
2026 Team Stats (30 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1366 (#29) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1343 (#17) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1146 (#26) | HCA +106 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +17.0 (#49) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +21.4 (#31) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.882 (#34) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.882 (#34) | NetEff +16.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.955 (#45) | AdjNet +26.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.958 (#46) | AdjNet +26.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.813 (#48) | AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 57.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.794 (#25) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 56.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.879 (#37) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.876 (#30) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1319 (#18) | RD 122 | GP 30 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Madison St. Rose
|
G | 28 | 31.7 | 15.8 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 11.9 | 9.8 | - | - | - | - | 47.9 | 27.8 | 77.0 | - | 56.9 | 51.9 |
Fadima Tall
|
G | 28 | 29.1 | 13.0 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 10.0 | 13.5 | - | - | - | - | 45.9 | 36.1 | 84.6 | 1.0 | 56.8 | 51.2 |
Skye Belker
|
G | 30 | 32.7 | 12.9 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 9.6 | 6.9 | - | - | - | - | 46.0 | 43.0 | 85.0 | 0.53 | 59.5 | 55.0 |
Olivia Hutcherson
|
G | 30 | 27.8 | 11.0 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 8.2 | 10.4 | - | - | - | - | 53.0 | 0.0 | 65.7 | 1.04 | 56.4 | 53.0 |
Ashley Chea
|
G | 30 | 32.2 | 10.1 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 9.7 | 6.2 | - | - | - | - | 36.6 | 32.0 | 80.8 | 3.38 | 48.1 | 44.7 |
Toby Nweke
|
G | 28 | 21.9 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 4.8 | 4.6 | - | - | - | - | 45.9 | 34.7 | 80.0 | -1.62 | 57.5 | 55.3 |
Cristina Parrella
|
G | 2 | 12.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.93 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
Taylor Charles
|
F | 30 | 13.4 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 5.7 | - | - | - | - | 36.2 | 26.7 | 63.6 | -1.66 | 43.2 | 39.1 |
Emily Eadie
|
F | 30 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 2.2 | - | - | - | - | 36.2 | 18.2 | 69.2 | -1.08 | 41.6 | 37.9 |
Sarah Lessig
|
F | 13 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -1.74 | 77.5 | 70.8 |
Grace O'Sullivan
|
G | 23 | 9.1 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.9 | - | - | - | - | 48.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 61.0 | 63.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Princeton Tigers players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Princeton Tigers game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Chen | 2021-24 | WNBA | Golden State Valkyries | 44 | 15.3 | 7.2 | 1.1 | 1.9 |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | K. Chen | WNBA Playoffs | Golden State Valkyries | vs Atlanta Dream | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-24 | K. Chen | WNBA Playoffs | Golden State Valkyries | @ Atlanta Dream | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-21 | K. Chen | WNBA Playoffs | Golden State Valkyries | @ Atlanta Dream | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | Box |
2025-2026 Shot Zones
1747 located field-goal attempts in 30 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Madison St. RoseSkye BelkerFadima TallOlivia HutchersonAshley Chea
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 241-372 | 64.8 | 482 | Olivia Hutcherson 24% (114 pts) | Madison St. Rose 23% (110 pts) | Fadima Tall 23% (30 misses) | Olivia Hutcherson 18% (23 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 250-519 | 48.2 | 500 | Olivia Hutcherson 25% (124 pts) | Madison St. Rose 22% (112 pts) | Madison St. Rose 22% (59 misses) | Olivia Hutcherson 21% (56 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 58-129 | 45.0 | 116 | Ashley Chea 29% (34 pts) | Skye Belker 28% (32 pts) | Ashley Chea 28% (20 misses) | Olivia Hutcherson 20% (14 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 29-71 | 40.8 | 58 | Skye Belker 28% (16 pts) | Madison St. Rose 24% (14 pts) | Ashley Chea 26% (11 misses) | Olivia Hutcherson 21% (9 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 36-107 | 33.6 | 72 | Skye Belker 31% (22 pts) | Madison St. Rose 25% (18 pts) | Skye Belker 34% (24 misses) | Ashley Chea 17% (12 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 30-90 | 33.3 | 90 | Skye Belker 33% (30 pts) | Ashley Chea 23% (21 pts) | Ashley Chea 28% (17 misses) | Skye Belker 22% (13 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 18-50 | 36.0 | 54 | Skye Belker 28% (15 pts) | Ashley Chea 22% (12 pts) | Madison St. Rose 25% (8 misses) | Skye Belker 25% (8 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 54-179 | 30.2 | 162 | Ashley Chea 37% (60 pts) | Skye Belker 20% (33 pts) | Ashley Chea 36% (45 misses) | Skye Belker 17% (21 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 26-87 | 29.9 | 78 | Fadima Tall 27% (21 pts) | Madison St. Rose 27% (21 pts) | Fadima Tall 34% (21 misses) | Ashley Chea 30% (18 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 49-143 | 34.3 | 147 | Skye Belker 29% (42 pts) | Madison St. Rose 22% (33 pts) | Madison St. Rose 30% (28 misses) | Ashley Chea 19% (18 misses) |